sentimenttiming

VIX Fractal Pattern--TVIX Long?

Short
TVC:VIX   Volatility S&P 500 Index
I have been following this POTENTIAL fractal pattern on the vix and one of the reasons in my post a couple of nights ago, led with "What is the vix telling us"? Fractal pattern do not follow exactly, but mimic a pattern in the past. I labeled what I am looking at and so far, it has followed the script. I am NOT 100% sure it will this time, but the pattern is very similar. Look at the numbers on the chart and then the abc. I believe we are in the b part of the pattern and if correct, you can see what happens with C. Should be interesting and maybe dabbling in tvix with a small amount, not a bad trade-with stop below the previous lows. With the RUT under performing, which is an under statement, maybe this works out to be a great trade.

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Can The Stock Market Be Predicted? Below are a series of predictions we made from September. Take a look and you will see, yes they can and nobody does it better than Woody Dorsey!

February 14, 2019:
Nominal tactical weakness has been due into 2/22. Now, to reiterate, “nominal tactical weakness” is not a “Sell” signal. It is just the timing profile. Again, as noted: “The Interim profile is still Bullish .” The December Low was excessive, and the rebound is becoming excessive too. If a corrective range is forming, another or, several 2-3 day declines may occur over the next two weeks. Now, the next nominal trading high is due near 4/10ish. That does not mean stocks are just going higher from here to there by any means. It makes the most tactical sense for stocks to correct or to become congested for a while. • Near Term Diagnosis: Sentiment is 83% Bullish today following a relatively rare 97% bullish yesterday. These are clearly cautionary. • Interim Term Diagnosis: The Interim Trend still allows for recovery rallies, by fits and starts, into at least early April or perhaps even into June.

10/16/18 Sentiment Timing Report: MARKET TIMING: A tactical trading low was ideally due last week and came in on 10/11 synchronous with the 0% Bullish . This week is messy with an upside bias due next week. Given the expansion of the range, it may all amount to not very much: “I still foresee a notable relief rally in November. That may be followed by more weakness than anyone expects into year end.” The code is for a nominal Recovery near 10/26 and, post-Election, engineer a decent upside episode into Thanksgiving followed by perhaps surprisingly robust downside in December. These codes may morph and become more, or less defined, so be aware of that. These are tricky times and “loco” maneuvers can occur.

09/13/18 Sentiment Timing Report: MARKET TIMING: A failure was expected in August. The expected correction is profiled to last into near 9/25ish but, “This Fall may see trading opportunities both ways.” How the market behaves into 9/25ish there will tell us all a great deal about the larger context. So far from the 8/29 High, there were 7 days down which have been followed by 5 days up. While it feels like the market is strong it really has been in a sideways price/time pattern. What fits best now is for another 6-8 day decline which would make it a somewhat symmetrical compound correction into the preferred low date. Under that pattern, today would be the last upside day.
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