The dynamic strength of the greenback
This strength lies in the lust to expand from the base (= the tendency towards 103xx-104xx) and further in the circumstances where technical breaks occurred or are made possible. Seller's outpost at December 2016 highs is falling apart from the Fed superiority. Buyer's are now showing that momentum can be keenly exercised in the break above 118.6x. An examination of the before and after gives an undoubted advantage to buyers.
The Yen as endgame weakness
Critical for an evaluation of the issues raised is the fact that the war/sanctions are causing Japan to lose much of its glory to the Panda. There is no longer any likelihood of shifting gears. Japan has not yet somehow managed to get going again in the middle game and it looks inevitable. Yen is suffering a lot not only because of BOJ isolation and need of protecting, but also because the technicals are so weak. Consider for example when we were sitting at 108xx with an ABCDE slingshot.
Now it is clear...The triangle was used for centralising and manoeuvring to form a gateway. All possible movement ever since has been with an impressive degree of one-sidedness; the latest break of 118.6x is unlocking 126xx in the coming weeks/months. Let's sum it up:
Buyers are still aiming for the 150 target in an ABC that appears to be a done deal once above 125.8x, whereas sellers remain extremely weak. In addition with quad witching now cleared, the 118.6x break is important unlocking a structural 'crash' and burn momentum move in Yen for this week onwards.
This strength lies in the lust to expand from the base (= the tendency towards 103xx-104xx) and further in the circumstances where technical breaks occurred or are made possible. Seller's outpost at December 2016 highs is falling apart from the Fed superiority. Buyer's are now showing that momentum can be keenly exercised in the break above 118.6x. An examination of the before and after gives an undoubted advantage to buyers.
The Yen as endgame weakness
Critical for an evaluation of the issues raised is the fact that the war/sanctions are causing Japan to lose much of its glory to the Panda. There is no longer any likelihood of shifting gears. Japan has not yet somehow managed to get going again in the middle game and it looks inevitable. Yen is suffering a lot not only because of BOJ isolation and need of protecting, but also because the technicals are so weak. Consider for example when we were sitting at 108xx with an ABCDE slingshot.
Now it is clear...The triangle was used for centralising and manoeuvring to form a gateway. All possible movement ever since has been with an impressive degree of one-sidedness; the latest break of 118.6x is unlocking 126xx in the coming weeks/months. Let's sum it up:
Buyers are still aiming for the 150 target in an ABC that appears to be a done deal once above 125.8x, whereas sellers remain extremely weak. In addition with quad witching now cleared, the 118.6x break is important unlocking a structural 'crash' and burn momentum move in Yen for this week onwards.
