USD/CNH Extends Gains Amid Firmer US Dollar and Geopolitical...

USD/CNH Extends Gains Amid Firmer US Dollar and Geopolitical Tensions

The USD/CNH currency pair has been making significant strides, extending its gains for the fifth consecutive day during the Asian session on Friday. Trading around 7.3530, the pair is now approaching the resistance confluence at 7.3590. Simultaneously, the onshore Yuan (CNY) has reached a 16-year high at 7.3462 against the US Dollar (USD). These developments underscore the current strength of the USD, which has been bolstered by a consistent stream of positive economic data from the United States.

Firm USD Supported by Upbeat Economic Data

The recent performance of the USD can be largely attributed to the string of encouraging economic indicators emerging from the US. Notably, on Thursday, the release of data revealed that as of September 1, Initial Jobless Claims in the US had decreased to 216,000, a notable drop from the previous figure of 229,000. These numbers defied market expectations, which had anticipated an increase to 234,000. Furthermore, US Unit Labor Costs for the second quarter (Q2) surged to 2.2%, up from the previous reading of 1.6%, contrary to the expectation that they would remain unchanged.

These impressive economic figures have lent support to the USD, instilling confidence among investors and traders. As a result, the USD has continued to gain strength, influencing its performance against various other currencies, including the Chinese Yuan.

Geopolitical Tensions in Focus

In addition to the currency market dynamics, geopolitical developments are also impacting the USD/CNH pair. The upcoming G20 leaders' summit in New Delhi, scheduled to commence this Saturday, has garnered significant attention. US President Joe Biden is set to participate in the event, but notably absent from the guest list is Chinese President Xi Jinping.

Xi Jinping's decision not to attend the summit raises questions about the state of US-China relations. The absence of both leaders at a crucial global forum signifies the persisting strain in their bilateral relationship. It's worth noting that this comes amid ongoing tensions surrounding issues like trade, technology, and human rights, further complicating diplomatic efforts between the two superpowers.

The exclusion of China's top leadership from the summit may contribute to the prevailing geopolitical uncertainty, and the market will closely monitor any developments that could impact the global economic landscape.

Conclusion

The USD/CNH's recent winning streak, driven by a stronger US Dollar and reinforced by positive economic data, highlights the ongoing shifts in the currency market. As the pair approaches key resistance levels, traders and investors will closely watch for potential breakout opportunities. Simultaneously, the geopolitical backdrop, marked by the absence of President Xi Jinping at the G20 summit, adds an extra layer of complexity to the situation, underscoring the intricacies of global diplomacy and their potential influence on currency markets.


Our preference

The upside prevails as long as 7.26750 ( 78.6% Fibo ) is support.