OlympusLab

USDCHF Potential Forecast | 3rd April 2023

Long
OANDA:USDCHF   U.S. Dollar / Swiss Franc
Fundamental Backdrop
1. CHF CPI m/m increased by 0.2%, much lower than the forecast 0.4% and previous 0.7% m/m.
2. The softer print of CPI shows that inflation has been slowing down at a much faster rate which could signify a dovish landing on the SNB.
3. Market Open on Dollar has been very bullish, however, with NFP lurking this week, expect plenty of volatility in the market.
4. USD ISM Manufacturing PMI releasing later on in the day and market has been pricing in a 47.5 compared to 47.7 previous.

Technical Confluences
1. H4 resistance level at 0.921.
2. H4 support level at 0.9085.
3. Price could potentially retest the resistance level at 0.921.


Idea
Given the weak CPI reading on CHF, there is a weak bullish outlook on USDCHF as upcoming ISM news on USD is also slated to be a softer print.





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