USD/CHF Forecast: Exploring Downside Potential Post-Double Top

The USD/CHF pair is facing resistance around the 0.8830 mark, struggling to regain momentum after a retreat from nearly reaching 0.8900, primarily attributed to encountering a double top formation at 0.88850.

This downward movement in the pair is underpinned by the weakened US Dollar (USD) and declining US Treasury bond yields. Market participants are eagerly awaiting the release of the Swiss February Consumer Price Index (CPI), anticipating it to ease from 1.3% in January to 1.1% in February, which could provide fresh impetus to the currency pair.

On the US front, the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) reported a decline in the US Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) to 47.8 in February from 49.1 in the previous month, falling short of market expectations set at 49.5.

Looking ahead, investors will closely monitor Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's testimony scheduled for Wednesday, seeking insights into the inflation outlook and potential shifts in monetary policy. Hawkish remarks from Fed policymakers could potentially lift the USD, acting as a tailwind for the USD/CHF pair.

Concurrently, the Swiss Federal Statistical Office is set to release the nation's Consumer Price Index (CPI) for February later on Monday. Our analysis suggests a continuation of bearish pressure following the double top formation, with a potential breakout below the neckline, targeting the next fair value gap at 0.86000

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