TheSecretsOfTrading

US Treasure Bonds Yields - Long Term

TVC:US30Y   US 30Y yield
Alright so I've come up with a formula between different US Bond Yields resulting in an oscillator indicator - which successfully signals tops on the stock markets and the bear market after.

Based on the area where that oscillator crosses the 0 value (down), we start topping until it comes back up. This period last in average around 1 year and is aligningt +/- with the actual top of SPX.
This is a period in which stocks may consolidate or still go up - overall an area of indecission, ending bullish power etc.

The actual drop always comes after that period and last up to 800 days- depending on the strength of the previous bull trend - The longer and stronger, the bigger the fall.
All such corrections were hitting lower than 0.618 fib level - meaning we will hit 2200 or even 1600 (SPX).

Key takeaways:
- We're not in an actual Bear Market yet.
- We are in consolidation meaning a pump for ath retests is possible until March 2023 +/-
- After March 2023 we should start real falls until around March 2025
- SPX Bear Market Target 1600-2200


Sorry and you're welcome!

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