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UK100 BREAKTHROUGH AND RETEST THE RESISTANCE

CURRENCYCOM:UK100   FTSE 100 Index
The FTSE 100 index is well placed to extend its recent run higher ahead of the Bank of England’s decision on UK interest rates next Thursday. Once seen as almost certain, a rate hike has become less likely because of the spread of the coronavirus Omicron variant.

That’s positive for UK stocks even though the Government has already responded by tightening the pandemic rules in England. Masks will now have to be worn in most indoor public places and employees have been told to work from home if they can.

The UK FTSE 100 index traded lower on Monday and touch and retest the broken resistance line from December 6th of the downtrend formed from drawn from the high of November 12th. That said, the slide was paused near the 7220.00 level, still above the prior downside resistance line. As long as the index is trading and stopped on that level and in combination with that the traders sentiment is net long, it would be interesting to see how the price will react in the following days.

In order to start examining whether the outlook has darkened further, the experts would like to see a clear dip below 7180.00, support marked by the inside swing, and 61.8Fibo correction. The price will already be below the aforementioned downside line and the bears may get encouraged to push the action towards. If they are not willing to stop there, then we could see them pushing towards the low around 7115.00 or lower to 38.2Fibo correction around 7050.00 or lower to the strong support and psychological level around 7000.00.

On the upside, the experts would like to see a clear rebound back from the current levels before start examining whether the bulls have gained full control again. This will take the index above the upside line and could aim for the 7370.00 or 7397.00 zones. Another break, above 7397, could see scope for extensions towards the peak of February 21st, 2020, at around 7460.

Looking at our oscillator indicators we have to notice that MACD and RSI are very close to the oversold zone but also noted big short volume bars at the end of the year.


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