valentine_j_

Looking at Possible Dead Cat Bounce Levels After TSLA Earnings

Short
valentine_j_ Updated   
BATS:TSLA   Tesla
Depending on investor sentiment, I am expecting 3 possibilities, listed from most positive to least positive investor sentiment:

  • In Purple (most positive): Bounce to $196-$198 fib levels, decaying to $188-192 range.
  • In Yellow: Bounce to $192-$194 fib levels, decaying to $184-186 range.
  • In red (worst): Little to no bounce, very pessimistic view on stock, decaying straight to $180-182.

If we hit red, or maybe even yellow, we are looking at a rough 2024 (See my triple top and dip Idea.)
Comment:
Update: DCB to 191.50$, dipped as low as $186.68. Attempted another bounce to $190, rejected, currently below last low.

Following along red line so far.
Comment:
Bounced twice off of $186.15. Did we find a solid support? If we break 187.40, it's possible we did.
Comment:
It looks like we are dipping for a third time to $186. It did not come any closer to $187.40, this is a crucial move: triple bottom then up? or reject the support.
Comment:
It was fought hard but didn't hold. we may be looking at $185 next support. (Fib line 0.618)
Comment:
Double bounce off the $185 fib line, looking poised to break pattern.
Comment:
Broke pattern, currently out of my positions. I'll come back later in the day to regret the sale of my puts early.
Comment:
Massive regret: It hit $180 within the hour that I stepped away. Oh well, made a profit. Not looking good for Tesla. Might, MIGHT, go back in if there is any significant bounce up but it isn't looking like it will.
Comment:
Will do a post-market close analysis in a couple hours.

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