Recently, we discussed how overbought conditions in the stock market were making a case for correction. Now, with the major market indices retreating slightly lower, we are looking for more clues about where the market might be headed next. To support a thesis about the SPX going lower, we would like to see RSI, MACD, and Stochastic continue declining on the daily graph. In addition to that, we would like to see the SPX break below Support 1 near $4,697 and further rise in the VIX. Contrarily, to support the bullish odds, we would like to see the SPX hold above Support 1 and a reversal in the mentioned technical indicators, along with the drop in the VIX.
Illustration 1.01
Illustration 1.01 shows the daily chart of SPX within the upward-sloping channel and two simple moving averages. Interestingly, the value of the 20-day SMA closely coincides with that of Support 1; a failure of the moving average to hold selling pressure will tilt the odds to the bearish side.
Technical analysis
Daily time frame = Bearish
Weekly time frame = Neutral
Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not serve as a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor or any other entity. Your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
Illustration 1.01
Technical analysis
Daily time frame = Bearish
Weekly time frame = Neutral
Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not serve as a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor or any other entity. Your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
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