Look at the DOT COM bubble and financial crisis. Markets crashed after the US02Y started going down.
For the DOT COM bubble, the market top happened 151 days after US02Y peaked.
For the Financial crisis. the market top happened 486 days after US02Y peaked.
That's a huge difference!
Currently, US02Y is still rising!
If US02Y tops in November / December 2023, can we really expect markets to continue going up for 151 to 486 days? Wow! That would be incredible!
That would mean a market top of November 2023 + 5 to 16 months.
Market top between March 2024 to February 2025.
Possible! Or Dec / Jan could be market top!
Time will tell.
I don't know. I think we will have one last nice pump in the markets before crashing hard.
Will SPX goto 5200?
For the DOT COM bubble, the market top happened 151 days after US02Y peaked.
For the Financial crisis. the market top happened 486 days after US02Y peaked.
That's a huge difference!
Currently, US02Y is still rising!
If US02Y tops in November / December 2023, can we really expect markets to continue going up for 151 to 486 days? Wow! That would be incredible!
That would mean a market top of November 2023 + 5 to 16 months.
Market top between March 2024 to February 2025.
Possible! Or Dec / Jan could be market top!
Time will tell.
I don't know. I think we will have one last nice pump in the markets before crashing hard.
Will SPX goto 5200?
