Since the Covid crash, the Stock Market has been on an unstoppable steep upwards trajectory. This carried out through 2020 and the whole 2021. I've never seen the Stock Market climb this high and this short amount of time. With the current state of the economy with rising inflation, food & supply shortages, spending cuts and coming interest rate hikes... I do not believe that we can continue at this pace in 2022 without a deeper correction. We drank the juice and got caught up in the overly bullish mentality.
We have to remember the laws of Supply and Demand. Markets never go up at this steep without a steep correction at some point. I'm seeing the 3,500 - 3,800 range (38-50%) as a likely area that this correction may fall to. I could see it falling as low as 3,200 - 3,500 (50-68%) as well. It may fall straight down into these areas or it make take place over the next couple of months but these are the areas I'm watching.
I'd be weary of being overly aggressive with continuing to buy at this time. It is possible that many retail investors/traders will get bull trapped. They may take this market up just a little more and then drive it down further. When there's a lot of uncertainty, it's not a terrible idea to just hold your money and until the market has bottoms out before getting aggressive with buying again. And as of now, it is not clear if this is the bottom yet.
We have to remember the laws of Supply and Demand. Markets never go up at this steep without a steep correction at some point. I'm seeing the 3,500 - 3,800 range (38-50%) as a likely area that this correction may fall to. I could see it falling as low as 3,200 - 3,500 (50-68%) as well. It may fall straight down into these areas or it make take place over the next couple of months but these are the areas I'm watching.
I'd be weary of being overly aggressive with continuing to buy at this time. It is possible that many retail investors/traders will get bull trapped. They may take this market up just a little more and then drive it down further. When there's a lot of uncertainty, it's not a terrible idea to just hold your money and until the market has bottoms out before getting aggressive with buying again. And as of now, it is not clear if this is the bottom yet.