Hello Traders,
Here is the Top-Down Analysis of NZDJPY (Monthly, Weekly, Daily for direction and 4H for entry) for
Week 42 - 12 Oct
M > Market is moving in a downward channel, price dropped from resistance of channel.
W > Price tested resistance level thrice and faced rejection creating triple top. We can see a W formation and expect price to drop and test its neck. However after last rise price is moving in a range of about 300 pips.
D > After last rise to test monthly resistance level price created LH and LL but with last daily candle price has broken last LH. It is now approaching daily resistance and we can expect a reversal.
As per COT NZD had closure of few Long and major Short increasing net positions, confirming strength of ZXY for the said week. Short positions have reduced to least in current year. ZXY has been gaining strength slowly since June 2020. ZXY improved its position last week. JPY had closure of Long and addition of Short reducing net positions, however Commercials added both Long and Short positions, increasing open interest. This made JXY slightly recover its position for the said week. However JXY was indecisive last week ending with Gravestone Doji.
We cannot expect long term bearish move unless JPY gains strength and ZXY weakens.
4H > We will observe price action at current level for reversal, however market can continue moving upwards to test monthly resistance again.
Pair Correlation > NZDJPY has positive correlation with NZDUSD, AUDJPY, NZDCHF, AUDCHF and AUDUSD and negative correlation with USDCAD, EURNZD and EURAUD.
This was my Idea and I hope you find it useful. If you find the analysis of help please leave a LIKE and FOLLOW for receiving all updates during the week. In the comment section share your view or ask questions.
Thank You
AP17FX
Here is the Top-Down Analysis of NZDJPY (Monthly, Weekly, Daily for direction and 4H for entry) for
Week 42 - 12 Oct
M > Market is moving in a downward channel, price dropped from resistance of channel.
W > Price tested resistance level thrice and faced rejection creating triple top. We can see a W formation and expect price to drop and test its neck. However after last rise price is moving in a range of about 300 pips.
D > After last rise to test monthly resistance level price created LH and LL but with last daily candle price has broken last LH. It is now approaching daily resistance and we can expect a reversal.
As per COT NZD had closure of few Long and major Short increasing net positions, confirming strength of ZXY for the said week. Short positions have reduced to least in current year. ZXY has been gaining strength slowly since June 2020. ZXY improved its position last week. JPY had closure of Long and addition of Short reducing net positions, however Commercials added both Long and Short positions, increasing open interest. This made JXY slightly recover its position for the said week. However JXY was indecisive last week ending with Gravestone Doji.
We cannot expect long term bearish move unless JPY gains strength and ZXY weakens.
4H > We will observe price action at current level for reversal, however market can continue moving upwards to test monthly resistance again.
Pair Correlation > NZDJPY has positive correlation with NZDUSD, AUDJPY, NZDCHF, AUDCHF and AUDUSD and negative correlation with USDCAD, EURNZD and EURAUD.
This was my Idea and I hope you find it useful. If you find the analysis of help please leave a LIKE and FOLLOW for receiving all updates during the week. In the comment section share your view or ask questions.
Thank You
AP17FX
