Moderna Break of Major Support, Short Potential
This is a Technical Analysis on Moderna (MRNA) on the 1 Week Timeframe.
Current price action shows that we are currently in the process of breaking a MAJOR SUPPORT Zone.
We held critical SUPPORT multiple times ABOVE the $115.00 level, for a span of about 26 months. Expressed by the GREEN circles. But notice we havent been able to successfully rally and stay above the "MAJOR RESISTANCE" line.
Though the CURRENT candle has not yet closed, which it will end of trading session Monday, the 7th of August.
This in my opinion is a critical development. If we CONFIRM below this $115 ish area, the lower range of about $82.00 of the ORANGE zone becomes more likely.
The ORANGE zone, or price range between $115 and $82 has barely any market structure or in other words barely any candles. It would be easy for price to fall stright down, in my opinion.
This can be an area to take a SHORT position.
Another thing to notice since the BLOW of top, we have been forming a DESCENDING TRIANGLE. Its been forming since August 2021, this is NO JOKE. Measuring the target of the end point of descending triangle we get about a 75% drop target. Just remember it doesnt have to play out exactly but its something to consider and keep in the back of the mind.
So just to mention:
1st Target = $82 ish area
2nd Target = $57- $47 range
Last Target = Descending triangle measured target of $29 ( *Less likely for the time being)
RSI has been:
1. printing Lower Highs
2. is currently below the Black Moving average, which i use as an indication of price moving down
3.Is currently in process of ALL TIME RSI LOW, provided we close this weeks candle at current RSI lvl.
STOCH RSI -> Setting up for a BEARish cross. This if it occurs and we are below the MAJOR SUPPORT, bearish momentum can push price down.
Lastly ADX & DI -> We have RED line cross above Green and pointing up. We need to observe this, this indicates also the BEARISH momentum is coming in. If the BLACK moving average curves up and starts moving towards the RED/GREEN line with RED being on top, this will indicate bearish momentum.
CONCLUSION:
We are at major cross roads for MRNA. If we don't have any buying occur during Mondays trading session, and we close below MAJOR SUPPORT, it may be time to SHORT MRNA. We have not had any luck trying to break and stay above the "MAJOR RESISTANCE" line. This, along with multiple touches on MAJOR SUPPORT, has made this WEAK (in my opinion). Short targets include the primary, secondary and descending triangle target levels. Indicators are also shaping up to support the current price action. At times like this, it is important to observe further clues of bearish activity, to be patient and take it one step at a time.
Thank you for taking the time to read my analysis. Hope it helped keep you informed. Please do support my ideas by boosting, following me and commenting. Thanks again.
If you have any questions, do reach out. Thank you again.
DISCLAIMER: This is not financial advice, i am not a financial advisor. The thoughts expressed in the posts are my opinion and for educational purposes. When trading always spend majority of your time on risk management strategy.
Current price action shows that we are currently in the process of breaking a MAJOR SUPPORT Zone.
We held critical SUPPORT multiple times ABOVE the $115.00 level, for a span of about 26 months. Expressed by the GREEN circles. But notice we havent been able to successfully rally and stay above the "MAJOR RESISTANCE" line.
Though the CURRENT candle has not yet closed, which it will end of trading session Monday, the 7th of August.
This in my opinion is a critical development. If we CONFIRM below this $115 ish area, the lower range of about $82.00 of the ORANGE zone becomes more likely.
The ORANGE zone, or price range between $115 and $82 has barely any market structure or in other words barely any candles. It would be easy for price to fall stright down, in my opinion.
This can be an area to take a SHORT position.
Another thing to notice since the BLOW of top, we have been forming a DESCENDING TRIANGLE. Its been forming since August 2021, this is NO JOKE. Measuring the target of the end point of descending triangle we get about a 75% drop target. Just remember it doesnt have to play out exactly but its something to consider and keep in the back of the mind.
So just to mention:
1st Target = $82 ish area
2nd Target = $57- $47 range
Last Target = Descending triangle measured target of $29 ( *Less likely for the time being)
RSI has been:
1. printing Lower Highs
2. is currently below the Black Moving average, which i use as an indication of price moving down
3.Is currently in process of ALL TIME RSI LOW, provided we close this weeks candle at current RSI lvl.
STOCH RSI -> Setting up for a BEARish cross. This if it occurs and we are below the MAJOR SUPPORT, bearish momentum can push price down.
Lastly ADX & DI -> We have RED line cross above Green and pointing up. We need to observe this, this indicates also the BEARISH momentum is coming in. If the BLACK moving average curves up and starts moving towards the RED/GREEN line with RED being on top, this will indicate bearish momentum.
CONCLUSION:
We are at major cross roads for MRNA. If we don't have any buying occur during Mondays trading session, and we close below MAJOR SUPPORT, it may be time to SHORT MRNA. We have not had any luck trying to break and stay above the "MAJOR RESISTANCE" line. This, along with multiple touches on MAJOR SUPPORT, has made this WEAK (in my opinion). Short targets include the primary, secondary and descending triangle target levels. Indicators are also shaping up to support the current price action. At times like this, it is important to observe further clues of bearish activity, to be patient and take it one step at a time.
Thank you for taking the time to read my analysis. Hope it helped keep you informed. Please do support my ideas by boosting, following me and commenting. Thanks again.
If you have any questions, do reach out. Thank you again.
DISCLAIMER: This is not financial advice, i am not a financial advisor. The thoughts expressed in the posts are my opinion and for educational purposes. When trading always spend majority of your time on risk management strategy.
Comment:
This week candle is already trading about 5-6% below last weeks. $100 level is a major psychological level, if we confirm below -> My lower targets become more probable.
Comment:
We have had a Rejection from a re-test of the Major Support Line now turned Resistance.
This weaks candle has Printed a dominant BEARISHING ENGULFING Candle.
Showing signs of further declines, in my opinion.
We are now peaking our head below the Current Support line labeled "Support" in Orange.
If we confirm below this. We will quickly reach our Primary Target Zone.
Due to lack of Market Structure. The market structure here comprises of Only 2 candles. Itll get destroyed like ripping paper..
Nows the time to pay attention here to assess the end point of this DOWNTREND.
Look to my 2nd target and Descending Triangle Potential target areas.
The area labeled "Rejected" would have been an area to take shorts.
We have had a Rejection from a re-test of the Major Support Line now turned Resistance.
This weaks candle has Printed a dominant BEARISHING ENGULFING Candle.
Showing signs of further declines, in my opinion.
We are now peaking our head below the Current Support line labeled "Support" in Orange.
If we confirm below this. We will quickly reach our Primary Target Zone.
Due to lack of Market Structure. The market structure here comprises of Only 2 candles. Itll get destroyed like ripping paper..
Nows the time to pay attention here to assess the end point of this DOWNTREND.
Look to my 2nd target and Descending Triangle Potential target areas.
The area labeled "Rejected" would have been an area to take shorts.
