motaman1985

META Diagonal Put 95 Dec 9/100 Dec 16

Short
motaman1985 Updated   
NASDAQ:META   Meta Platforms
Bear Rally Set Up:

A couple weeks ago we set a new low around 88ish which has lead this back up to the 20 day. It's actually been basing at the 20 for a few days getting ready to make another move. The overall trend is bearish. The entry point was determined by waiting for this to trade below the previous day low. Conditions at these levels solidify an entry point. As for my stops, I'm set up for max loss. So if this doesn't go my way....oh well. Next. I've got my eyes set on 95 as my target. It's out of the money target, but as I said before, the overall trend is bearish and if this does decide to head lower, it may want to fill those gaps it made before it got up here.

Diagonal Spread Strategy:

So,we've established this is a bear rally. I've decided to go with an out of the money diagonal strategy since this has a bearish trend and the overall tech sector is getting weaker. The charting criteria needed to enter this position has been triggered, trading below the previous days candle at the 20 day. The strike prices and expiration dates were determined by envisioning this to fall below 95 by late next week... or right around December 5the or 6th... making it's way back to the apex of the strategy and closing it out December 9th or the 8th. Position management is very simple, if this fall below 95 and stays below it come December 9th I'll just close the entire combo out and move on. I'm set up for max loss, so if this decides to trade sideways or continue higher, it won't matter to me.

Trade Setup:

Meta recently made a new swing low around 88ish. Since then, it's crawled back up to the 20 day and has been pretty stable in this area the last few days. Meta is also still trading below a falling 50-day SMA. This trend analysis is good to move on to the entry criteria. This rally has brought the stock back to the 20 day with lower and somewhat equal volume the last few days. Because it traded below the previous day, it triggered the entry.

T.E.S.T.

Timeframe: I put this out 3 weeks to hit my target.
Entry: My entry was about 109.45ish.
Stop: I'm set up for max loss.
Target: 95

Profit Score:

Potential: 15.00
ATR: 6.62
Score 2.27

Stock Outlook: -1

I'll update this as the days goes by.
Trade active
Comment:
Still somewhat basing. Should decide a direction in the coming days.
Comment:
So my 95 target looks like it's not going to get there by this Friday. And I doubt my 100 strike will be worth anything by the 16th. Will check back in another day.
Comment:
Going to let the 95 strike expire. I still have the 100 strike until next Friday.
Comment:
This one will probably expire worthless. Lets see what happens
Comment:
Going to close this out worthless.

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