AxiomEx

Technical Analysis: Litecoin

CRYPTO:LTCUSD   Litecoin
Overview
As of the latest analysis, Litecoin (LTC) presents a mixed sentiment with a leaning towards a bearish outlook in the short to medium term. The currency's performance over the past week and month has shown significant declines, aligning with the overall sentiment depicted by the majority of technical indicators utilized.

Technical Indicators
Moving Averages (MAs): A strong sell signal is evident as the short-term moving averages (10-day, 20-day, 30-day) are positioned above the current price, indicating downward pressure. The exponential moving average (EMA) for 200 days and simple moving average (SMA) for 200 days are below the current price, suggesting some support in the longer term, albeit the immediate trend remains bearish.
Relative Strength Index (RSI): Currently at 41.41, the RSI remains neutral, reflecting neither overbought nor oversold conditions, but close attention should be paid as it edges closer to the 40 threshold, which might indicate an upcoming stronger bearish momentum.
MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence): The MACD remains below the signal line, reinforcing the sell signal and suggesting bearish momentum.
Ichimoku Cloud: The price is below the cloud, confirming the bearish sentiment. The conversion line is below the baseline, which could typically be interpreted as a selling opportunity.
Fibonacci Retracement: The recent price action is hovering around the key Fibonacci retracement levels from the last major high to low. The resistance levels at 87.61 (pivot) could serve as critical points to watch for potential reversals or further confirmation of the downtrend.
Candlestick Patterns

Recent trading sessions reveal a sequence of bearish candles, with the latest showing a small body, indicative of indecision but within a prevailing downtrend. This suggests that while sellers are in control, a reversal could occur if buying pressure increases near key support levels.

Trading Strategy and Price Prediction
Given the current technical setup, traders should consider a short position at the current level of $80.21, targeting the first major support zone around $76.36 (SMA 200-day level), with an extended target towards $71.57 (Fibonacci retracement level S1). A strict stop-loss should be placed around $83.10 (10-day SMA), to mitigate potential losses should a reversal to bullish momentum occur unexpectedly.

For potential long positions, cautious entry is advised only if the price consistently closes above the 200-day moving averages with high volume, which could signal a shift in momentum. An initial target in such a bullish scenario would be the $87.61 pivot point, with a stop loss just below the 200-day EMA at $80.00.

Disclaimer

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