JoeChampion

Decoding GBPNZD: CPI Trends Point to Potential NZD Weakness

Long
FX:GBPNZD   British Pound / New Zealand Dollar
In today's trading session, our focus is on GBPNZD, where we are eyeing a buying opportunity around the 2.08000 zone. GBPNZD is currently traversing an ascending channel and is in a correction phase, approaching the channel support at 2.08000.

Adding a fundamental layer to our analysis, recent Consumer Price Index (CPI) data indicates a trend of softening inflation in New Zealand. Looking at the previous CPI figures, we observe a declining pattern from 2.2% in October 2022 to 1.8% in October 2023. The expected CPI on January 23rd is 0.5%, signaling a potential continuation of subdued inflationary pressures.

This soft print in CPI may impact the New Zealand Dollar (NZD), as a lower-than-expected inflation rate could prompt concerns about economic growth and lead to a dovish stance by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ). Traders should factor in the possibility of NZD weakness in their decision-making process.

Turning to technicals, GBPNZD's ascending channel provides a clear structure, with the correction approaching the channel support at 2.08000. Considering the channel's historical behavior, a potential target could be the channel resistance at 2.10.

As traders navigate this opportunity, a comprehensive analysis that combines both technical and fundamental factors is crucial. This dual perspective enables a more informed approach to trading decisions.

Trade safe, Joe.

Join our telegram Channel for daily market updates t.me/JoeChampion
Disclaimer

The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.