Elysian_Mind

EUR's Retracement: ECB indicated Yield-Seeking on USD

Short
Elysian_Mind Updated   
OANDA:EURUSD   Euro / U.S. Dollar
Welcome Investors, Dear Esteemed Viewers,

Technicals

Today's the 30 of November, and EUR's uptrend suffered a breaking. Technically, it means the downbreak of the rising dotted purple trendlines. This technically important price action aligned with a bearish cross on RSI and a bearish daily candle. The target price of this bearish setup is about $1.082, and then, I would re-assess the indicators for signs of possible support. In a bearish scenario, the next target could be $1.051.

News

Beyond technicals, the European Central Bank (ECB) has been cautious in raising interest rates to combat inflation, in contrast to the US Federal Reserve's more aggressive tightening cycle. This divergence in monetary policies has made the USD more attractive to yield-seeking investors.

In the near future, EUR might follow AI's investor sentiment analytics and the bearish technical setup, but if you actively trade EUR, you might want to commit yourself to continuous research because the landscape can sharply change.

Disclaimer:

It is not an investment advice. This idea is my personal opinion. Do your research.

Kind regards,
Ely
Comment:
I wanted to keep this video short and different than the previous analytics. It speaks about a chart pattern, but in my other idea, I wrote more about the world news background of the setup. Choose whichever serves your strategy better.
Trade closed manually:
Given the waning momentum of the bearish EUR trend, as evidenced by the angle of the RSI crossdown, I decided to secure profits from my short position.
Trade closed: target reached:
My prudent risk management strategy led to an early exit from the profitable short position, though EUR subsequently reached the initial target. While I'm uncertain whether you maintained the position after securing profits, either path would have resulted in a winning outcome. Congratulations on your astute trading decision! 💎
Comment:
I have newer and detailed analytics about EURUSD - New documentation and new video. So, I'd like to wrap up this thread, and welcome you to continue your journey in the relevant ideas section.

Disclaimer

The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.