The EUR/USD pair kicked off the new week on a positive note during the early Monday trading hours in Asia. The recovery of this currency pair is supported by the prevailing weakness of the US Dollar (USD). Having bounced from last week's low of 1.0656, the pair remains constrained below the resistance level of 1.0700. Currently, the main currency pair is trading around 1.0690, marking a 0.04% increase for the day.
The University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index declined to 60.4 in November from 63.8 in October. The 12-month inflation expectations for the US increased to 4.4% from 4.2%, while the 5-year expectations rose to 3.2% from 3.0%. A crucial upcoming event is the release of the CPI report for October. A better-than-expected outcome from this report could heighten the probability of the Fed raising interest rates again in December. Last week, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell mentioned that if further policy tightening is deemed appropriate, the central bank would not hesitate to do so.
On the other hand, the European Commission will release its economic growth forecast on Monday, with downward adjustments expected for the 2024 growth outlook. Preliminary GDP data for the Eurozone for Q3 is also due, with a quarterly estimate of a 0.1% decrease and an anticipated 0.1% increase on a yearly basis. Additionally, some ECB figures, including Lagarde, De Guindos, Lane, and Villeroy, may reiterate that any discussions about interest rate cuts are premature.
The International Monetary Fund stated last week that rapidly rising wages in the euro area could lead to prolonged inflation, suggesting that the European Central Bank should maintain interest rates at or around record highs in the coming year to alleviate pressure on prices. However, the market anticipates a rate cut, possibly as early as April, with a total of 90 basis points of cuts priced in by the end of next year. What are your thoughts on this currency pair?
The University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index declined to 60.4 in November from 63.8 in October. The 12-month inflation expectations for the US increased to 4.4% from 4.2%, while the 5-year expectations rose to 3.2% from 3.0%. A crucial upcoming event is the release of the CPI report for October. A better-than-expected outcome from this report could heighten the probability of the Fed raising interest rates again in December. Last week, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell mentioned that if further policy tightening is deemed appropriate, the central bank would not hesitate to do so.
On the other hand, the European Commission will release its economic growth forecast on Monday, with downward adjustments expected for the 2024 growth outlook. Preliminary GDP data for the Eurozone for Q3 is also due, with a quarterly estimate of a 0.1% decrease and an anticipated 0.1% increase on a yearly basis. Additionally, some ECB figures, including Lagarde, De Guindos, Lane, and Villeroy, may reiterate that any discussions about interest rate cuts are premature.
The International Monetary Fund stated last week that rapidly rising wages in the euro area could lead to prolonged inflation, suggesting that the European Central Bank should maintain interest rates at or around record highs in the coming year to alleviate pressure on prices. However, the market anticipates a rate cut, possibly as early as April, with a total of 90 basis points of cuts priced in by the end of next year. What are your thoughts on this currency pair?
