Trading FX is a risk/reward exercise.
And the greatest reward for the least risk is taking trades that relying on experience.
I've traded Fx for over 20 years so I recognize chart patterns and price movements without really thinking about hem.
If I was teaching how to trade FX I would be advising novice or inexpereinced tarderes NOT to take a trade like this but I'm shorting this pair for the following reasons.
a). Risk/reward is massively in my favour. I can get a SHORT trade on with a 20 pip STOP.
b). We are at WR1 Pivot area and this is a universally known area where SELLERS MAY enter the market.
c). The last 4 15m candles have been doji indecision candles.
d). RSI on multiple time frames is high (70 on H4 and high 60's H1, 30M, 15M).
e). 15M Andean Oscillator sees the red SELL line lifting away from zero.
Put these together and this "looks" a SHORT trade but there's always the chance EUR/JPY BULLS hace not finsihed with this pair.
f). we have a nice candle tweezer pattern on H1 right at resistance.
It should be noted that it's 24 years since this pair was at 165.60 so its highly likely that we are looking at a short term retracement but this could be back to the 200 EMA on M15 which would be 164.91 (+68 pips).
If this trade does take off and there is strong selling momentum then 164.50 is posssible.
And the greatest reward for the least risk is taking trades that relying on experience.
I've traded Fx for over 20 years so I recognize chart patterns and price movements without really thinking about hem.
If I was teaching how to trade FX I would be advising novice or inexpereinced tarderes NOT to take a trade like this but I'm shorting this pair for the following reasons.
a). Risk/reward is massively in my favour. I can get a SHORT trade on with a 20 pip STOP.
b). We are at WR1 Pivot area and this is a universally known area where SELLERS MAY enter the market.
c). The last 4 15m candles have been doji indecision candles.
d). RSI on multiple time frames is high (70 on H4 and high 60's H1, 30M, 15M).
e). 15M Andean Oscillator sees the red SELL line lifting away from zero.
Put these together and this "looks" a SHORT trade but there's always the chance EUR/JPY BULLS hace not finsihed with this pair.
f). we have a nice candle tweezer pattern on H1 right at resistance.
It should be noted that it's 24 years since this pair was at 165.60 so its highly likely that we are looking at a short term retracement but this could be back to the 200 EMA on M15 which would be 164.91 (+68 pips).
If this trade does take off and there is strong selling momentum then 164.50 is posssible.