EUR/CAD Under Pressure Below 1.4200 as Crude Oil Surges

EUR/CAD Under Pressure Below 1.4200 as Crude Oil Surges

EUR/CAD continues to face downward pressure, trading below the psychologically significant level of 1.4200 during early European trading on Thursday. This decline can be attributed to the notable surge in crude oil prices, driven by a combination of factors including supply constraints and optimism about the Chinese economy.

Crude Oil Prices Soar

Crude oil prices have experienced a remarkable rally, reaching levels not seen in over a year. This surge can be attributed to ongoing signs of a tightening global supply and cautious optimism regarding China's economic recovery. China, as the world's largest oil importer, plays a pivotal role in the global oil market. WTI crude oil prices have been on a winning streak, trading above $93.20 per barrel at the time of writing.

EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change Data

The latest data from the Energy Information Administration (EIA) regarding Crude Oil Stocks Change for the week ending September 22 added to the bullish sentiment. It revealed a decrease in oil stocks by 2.170 million barrels, surpassing the 2.135 million drawdown seen in the previous week. Market expectations were for a more modest decline of 0.32 million barrels.

Impact on EUR/CAD

The decline in US crude inventories has raised concerns about the potential economic fallout stemming from rapidly rising borrowing costs. This has further bolstered WTI crude oil prices. It's important to note that Canada is one of the largest oil exporters to the United States (US). Consequently, the strength in crude oil prices can exert downward pressure on the EUR/CAD pair.

Technical Analysis

From a technical perspective, there is evidence of a breakout from the neckline of a Head & Shoulders pattern. This technical pattern suggests a potential continuation of the bearish trend, indicating the possibility of further downward movement in the price of EUR/CAD.

Conclusion

EUR/CAD remains under pressure, trading below 1.4200, as crude oil prices surge to over one-year highs. The bullish momentum in oil markets, driven by supply constraints and optimism about China's economic recovery, is a significant factor affecting the pair. With concerns about rising borrowing costs and their potential economic impact, the outlook for EUR/CAD remains uncertain. Technical indicators also support the notion of a bearish trend continuation. Traders will closely monitor developments in both the energy markets and economic data to gauge potential trading opportunities in the pair.


Our preference

The downside prevails with Targets: 1.4100 & 1.4000