SpartaBTC

ETH/USD Secondary trend. Bullish triangle. Breakout. Target 96%

Long
SpartaBTC Updated   
BITSTAMP:ETHUSD   Ethereum
Logarithm. Time frame 1 week (less is not necessary). Horizontal accumulation channel has reformatted due to price holding near the meridian zone of the 1500 level into an ascending triangle (bullish triangle).

Linear for clarity.



Locally breakout zone. Time frame 1 day



Fractals. Underperformance due to liquidity and capitalization.

Similar things are developing only more slowly (liquidity) as recently in SOL/USDT.

SOL/USDT Secondary trend (part). Triangle. 1 10 2023

Already almost +150% off the breakout.
ETH will be a bit off due to timing, but the gist is similar....



Or in the past LISK/USD in the distant 2020 (Interest is different due to liquidity)

LISK/USD Major trend. Triangle. 24 12 2020


+325%


On growth always wait for correction, on fall for growth (reversion), such is the psychology of behavior of most market participants..



Memo to the hamster. Sometimes staying out of the market is the best strategy.[/b

By the end of 2024 the price with "high probability" for this bankable super centralized cryptocurrency will be over $10k. In 2025 in the distribution zone (trend highs) over 20k.


Risk Management..

There will very likely be a “super takeout” (emphasis added, this is a logical “as always” probability). Look at a chart of ether or bitcoin and think about when it is more rational to do this. Probably, it will seem like everything is "going to hell", treat it coldly, buy back in installments with a grid of orders from the profit that will be in the near medium term. But, it does not change the above described target of the cycle of “participation” and “distribution”.


When the price falls—the majority of market participants expect prices to rise or at least return to the past maximums.

When the price rises—the majority, "according to the habit of previous self-deception" expects prices to fall....

The greater the price growth, the greater the expectation, up to the "point of breaking the opinion" (when it is already necessary to do everything the other way around).

A perfect scheme of making money on the expectation of the majority.
Comment:
Those who manage large capital I advise to pay attention to ETH, if the price fixes roughly speaking above 2135 (previous local maximum) then the big bullish triangle closes and there will be a "shot" like on SOL +160% (identical), but the percentage is an order of magnitude less. But, for such a liquid instrument it is significant.


🟡 Medium urgency. For example, if the triangle will work out its targets, then 2 targets (more than +44) with a high probability will be closed, possibly the third one (about +72%).

I advise to close in installments or if you hold coins on the exchange or work on margin, then protect the profit #stopLoss

🔵Main trend. Participation phase (not distribution). Well. and if you are more patient, and working with pullbacks to you brings you only frustration ("it would be better to stay out"), this cryptocurrency of the largest US bank JP Morgan Chase with a capitalization of $455 billion and the second bank in the world, with a high probability in late 2024 and early 2025 the price will be traded over 10 thousand $

Recall that this bank is second only to Industrial and Commercial Bank of China. JPMorgan to the "master" of BTC and USDT (the direction of digitalization "ours will win") to them as to the sky, because there are "managers" of the middle level, but still, it is the second bank in the world, such their super centralized banking creation and investments protect and elevate at a distance. It doesn't matter what they say in the media and what they do on the chart locally squeezing coins for even greater centralization.

📈🐹 Liquidity and hamster expectations of huge %'s.

I think true hamsters medium term expectation will not be satisfied. It is clear that due to liquidity the instrument is slower (high liquidity) and the % is more moderate, but due to this the amount you can comfortably work with without fear of price slippage (low liquidity) is substantial. That allows you to take margin leverage (cross or isolated is not important, the main thing that not futures with "hamster leverage" with kopecks mullion) and thereby further increase profits.


💰📊Money and risk management.

The less leverage the greater the guarantee that you will actually take a profit, rather than being thrown out in advance with a loss instead of a guaranteed profit ("saw") or a problem with the exchange.

I think that you are not crazy to violate the adequacy man-management and keep for example a big position on the stock exchange (by big I mean really big, but something big from the position of a hamster).

🐳 For those who really respect and understand what big money is and reduce any even hypothetical risk - I advise you to work in spot and positionally withdrawing coins from the exchange. Have money in advance in case of the last capitulation (probability is not more than that, maybe before that you will have a significant profit and decide to sell your ETH).

🗣 News: BlackRock has filed a spot ETF on ETH (meaning, a similar play on expectations as on BTC). On this, from time to time they can "accelerate the price" and make local corrections (carry, rejections).

🎲 Ether from the position of making money has more potential at the moment than bitcoin, which is understandable. Although the risk is similarly present (good time for the final reset of capitulation to the world situation).
Comment:
locally a breakout zone right now.
Trade closed: target reached:
the first local target has been reached +20% This is the same as on cryptocurrency +200% liquidity is taken into account and the amount that can be rolled not only on margin, but in the spot.
Trade active
Trade active:
The first local target is reached +20% level 2417 (2392,4) And this is a difference of only 25$, which is a % of error, 1% is 24,17$. are you playing on options?)
Comment:
After the breakout of a large ascending triangle (bullish) consolidation under the local resistance level of 2417. One of the most interesting liquid TOP coins for positional trading.

1️⃣🟢 Breakout - impulsive growth. Key targets on the chart.

2️⃣🔴 Possible local pullback to the zone of mirror breakout level of $2000 (lower probability, but it will not break the trend).

3️⃣🟣 The third option is described and shown on the chart (capitulation of the market as a whole before the phase change to a pronounced bullish phase, liquidation of futures positions and margin).
Comment:
ETH Ethereum developers have scheduled a Dencun update on the core network for March 13th
Trade closed: target reached:
Line chart for clarity. Now in the moment gentlemen traders, not hamsters. The first local target of the ETH/SOL triangle, level 3538.4 $ is reached +40.9% from the breakout of the second reversal level 2417 $. Which is +75% from the breakout of the resistance of this bullish ascending triangle of 2002 $ level. The profit is significant, taking into account the liquidity of the instrument.

Remember that March 13 will be Dencun). There are still 10 days until that time. More global targets and not only in the previous this publication 11 11 23).
Trade active
Comment:
08 03 2024/ Ether reached the level of 3928.1 Now at the moment the price is 3960. The psychological breakout zone is 4000$. Behind this zone is a lot of protective shorts spop loss.

The target of a huge triangle +96% this liquid instrument has been reached.

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