The most hated bull market ever
Haven't published an idea in a long time. Have learned a lot and have coded a lot since then.
I have made a few risk on/risk off indicators since then. Both shorter term and longer term. They are not taking account of the ES price action, but are based on totally different factors. The things that wag the market (at least I'd like to think so).
As of now,
ES1!
is considered bullish on everything I look at. I personally think it is extended on short term, but this post isn't for the short term. More so looking at longer term market ideas.
2/10 yield curve is inverted, which obviously squeezes tf out of lenders (mostly banks who borrow front end and lend long). That is not bullish, but also has proven to not give any shorter term actionable items.
All this to say, I won't be surprised if that starts helping to unwind some of this Ai driven bull frenzy, but for now everything actually looks healthy (other than yield curve). And a lot of people are pissed about it and missed this massive move. Bears getting squeezed left and right.
Going to be more active posting in this idea, and will note when things seem to change. But for now I am tactically moving in and out of positions with a undeniable bullish bias
I have made a few risk on/risk off indicators since then. Both shorter term and longer term. They are not taking account of the ES price action, but are based on totally different factors. The things that wag the market (at least I'd like to think so).
As of now,
ES1!
is considered bullish on everything I look at. I personally think it is extended on short term, but this post isn't for the short term. More so looking at longer term market ideas. 2/10 yield curve is inverted, which obviously squeezes tf out of lenders (mostly banks who borrow front end and lend long). That is not bullish, but also has proven to not give any shorter term actionable items.
All this to say, I won't be surprised if that starts helping to unwind some of this Ai driven bull frenzy, but for now everything actually looks healthy (other than yield curve). And a lot of people are pissed about it and missed this massive move. Bears getting squeezed left and right.
Going to be more active posting in this idea, and will note when things seem to change. But for now I am tactically moving in and out of positions with a undeniable bullish bias
Now it's pretty hot and breadth is at a spot where I will reduce leverage and sell my
No reason to short yet imo, but no reason to be levered long.
Small caps had massive relative strength this week especially relative to