in probability terms, its going to be much more likely that the financial markets fall to better reflect the current economic struggles. Where this is most likely to happen first is in Europe as most if not all major European countries are seeing daily virus cases rise past previous levels set in the first wave, many countries already have or are currently considering additional lockdown restrictions to curb these rising virus numbers.
This is why I have chosen the GERMANY30 to express this trade idea and place my short.
Usually for a bearish trade this is a bad sign, typically markets sell quickly and rise slowly. (TIP) This is why the VIX, that simply measures volatility rises on bearish moves and falls on bullish moves.