alexinve

Prosegur Cash: Head and Shoulders and earnings

Short
alexinve Updated   
BME:CASH   PROSEGUR CASH, S.A.
H&S pattern and earnings outcome on July 31 may drag the price down to new historical minimum levels at 0.58, following long-term bearish channel. Also, second wave in Spain swelling may put pressure downwards on the stock price due to the company's main business: ATM's cash, which in covid19 days people are less keen on using physical money and prefer paying with card. However, Prosegur Cash is trying to keep floating capital with dividend reinvestments and buying its own capital. No analyst recommends to sell and 8 recommend to buy. Q1, CASH reduced profits 10.7% and made -3.9% sales. CASH also blames the currencies' effect to its earnings, so keep in mind that when covid exploded euro was up to 1.14 and now, after European Union took action with its funding 750.000 million, eurusd is up to 1.17. So watch out its Q2 earnings, but also get ready for Q3 in case Q2 are disappointing.
Comment:
By the way, debt to equity ratio is 646.5% at March 31 2020. However, operating cash flow covers 26.3%. CASH's interest payments on its debt are covered by EBIT 8.4 times. CASH's dividend payout policy is between 50 and 60%. Not bad.
Comment:
So, short until 0.58 and long until 1.30-1.70

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