Oluwawithin

CADJPY - E: 86.419 SL: 85.620 TP : 88.240 1.54%r 2,3R

Long
Oluwawithin Updated   
OANDA:CADJPY   Canadian Dollar / Japanese Yen
This trade is still off the BOC decision and tapering. This is a follow on from previous long CADJPY trade that I got out on break even earlier.

Entry was roughly middle of 68.2% fib of jump on BOC decision.
Entry not too bad, but significant support turned resistance at 86.65/70.

Last 2 days sell off over Asian and London Session, then North American trade comes on and CAD buying resumed.



Trade active:
Comment:
Adding to my Swing Trading analysis with the above 4 screen same timeframe chart.
Above example all are Daily.

Chart 1 = Mixed
Bullish - 4 MAs 200,100, 50, 20.
Bearish = Squeeze Momentum based on John Carter's TTM Squeeze.

Chart 2 = Bearish
Bearish - Monthly Pivot price below all week, also under weekly pivot.
Bearish - John Carters Scalper Strategy

Chart 3 - Bullish
Rising Dily trendline, 4 days.
Downward Channel staying above halfway point.

Chart 4 - Mixed
Dropped to 38.2% fib retracement, bullish would be support at 50% holding.
Mixed because it hasn't retested low as yet,

Need break above 86.80 to get out of range and push higher.
Trade active:
Bullish - 4 MAs 200,100, 50, 20, found support at 86.0 and off 50 Day MA.
Bearish = Squeeze Momentum red but slowing.
SL - Move up to protect, at least below 86 as a minimum.
Comment:
Also daily close above 20 Day EMA.
Comment:

Chart 2 = Bearish
Bullish - Strong close over the Monthly Pivot.
Bullish - John Carters Scalper Strategy - Moved to Long.
Comment:
Chart 3 - Bullish
Strong Breakout upside from Channel.
Initial EMA Cross or 8/21.
Comment:
Comment:
161.8% around 87.60 is probably first target now.
I only have small position and there is almost nothing showing that I should sell at the moment.
Comment:
So want to give it some room, so will move stop only upto 85.78, a small move, but risk is reduced and lots of room. FOMC Meeting due tommorow, may impact this trade, review again tomorrow before FOMC.

SL now at 85.78
Comment:
Broke above 161.8% fib overnight and holding above it in early Asian trade.
Comment:
Moved SL up to 86.95, locking in approx 1% profit.
Stop below 21 EMA in both 4 hourly and Daily.
Trade active:
CAD Retail Sales in a few minutes.
Market seems to be pricing in positive news, as pair right at highs for the week.
Comment:
Trade active:
Retail Sales came in even stronger than estimates.
Core Retail Saes (MoM) (Feb) 4.8% vs 3.7%
Retail Sales (M0M) (Feb) 4.8% vs 4.0%

Should support CAD.
www.forexlive.com/ne...40-expected-20210428

Looking for break above 88.00, might actually expect sell off, as retail sales could have been priced in.
Trade closed: target reached:
Really nice trade, with minimal drawdown.
Pushed to top by retail sales and oil price I suspect.

Profit 3.4%.
Comment:
Hit highs of 88.70, another 50 pips above my TP.
Don't lament missed profit, trade as a good trade idea and I executed as planned.
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