Bitcoin has been performing extremely well over the last two weeks.
In previous analyses I wrote that I expected the ETF to be a longer-term top. We dropped over 20%, but I expected we would drop to the 35k-30k area. Yet here we are, retesting the pre-ETF launch resistance merely a month later.
As of now, it's more likely than not that BTC will make new highs in the near future. Price action is strong, and so is the stock market. However, there's a minor risk in the very near future, which is the very overbought RSI.
With a 4H RSI at 83 points, it makes it risky to step into a short-term long position at the moment. I'm expecting the price to correct a couple of percent to let the RSI cool down a bit.
This would be a great entry for a longer-term swing position, since there's a high probability that BTC will break through 50k with force on the next leg up, creating a nice cup & handle pattern.
In previous analyses I wrote that I expected the ETF to be a longer-term top. We dropped over 20%, but I expected we would drop to the 35k-30k area. Yet here we are, retesting the pre-ETF launch resistance merely a month later.
As of now, it's more likely than not that BTC will make new highs in the near future. Price action is strong, and so is the stock market. However, there's a minor risk in the very near future, which is the very overbought RSI.
With a 4H RSI at 83 points, it makes it risky to step into a short-term long position at the moment. I'm expecting the price to correct a couple of percent to let the RSI cool down a bit.
This would be a great entry for a longer-term swing position, since there's a high probability that BTC will break through 50k with force on the next leg up, creating a nice cup & handle pattern.
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