FieryTrading

FieryTrading

In this analysis we're going to discuss a very simple trading strategy that will suit your long-term portfolio: buying into extreme weakness. As seen on the chart, Bitcoin has only been oversold on the daily RSI on three occassions over the past 1.5 years. Every single time this occured it proved to be an extremely profitable entry point. With Bitcoin seeing...

FieryTrading Updated 

In this analysis I want to take a look at one of my more popular indicators; Bitcoin's Logarithmic Price Bands. In case you want to know more about this indicator, please check out the link on the bottom of this post. Back in March I made an analysis with the same title, where I argued that Bitcoin had entered an area of danger (the yellow mid band of the...

FieryTrading Updated 

Normally I don't look that much at moving averages because they are largely lagging indicators. However, sometimes the indicator shows a strong divergence. As seen on the chart, the 200 EMA has offered strong support on the way up, but has now caused a strong rejection, making way for the bears to push the price further down. Like mentioned in the analysis...

FieryTrading

In this analysis I want to discuss the possibility of Bitcoin forming massive cup and handle pattern, spanning over nearly 3 years. With the halving coming up, Bitcoin's short-term price outlook has turned out sour. With this signal I want to prepare ourselves for the possibility of Bitcoin giving away all of 2024's gains and retesting the 40k-35k area. My...

FieryTrading

As of this week, the Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D) has broken out of a 6-month consolidation period. This means that money is flowing out of altcoins into Bitcoin again. It's difficult to predict how high BTC.D will go, but I think we can make a an educated guess by looking at the diagonal purple resistance. Historically, bull-markets (especially for alts) started...

FieryTrading

Preface: I'm still bullish on Bitcoin. Long-term trend still is dominantly bullish. With this analysis I merely want to discuss a potential downwards move after the halving. With the BTC halving approaching fast (time flies!), I'm becoming concerned that the market will actually treat the halving as a sell-the-news-event, rather than a buying one. The simple...

FieryTrading

In my most recent BTC analysis I talked about Bitcoin's pending break out of the bull-flag pattern on the chart. As of today, my initial entry has been hit and the top resistance has been retested as support. This makes me believe that the break out is legit and that a new leg up is on the horizon. My target remains at 80k, although I wouldn't be surprised if...

FieryTrading Updated 

In this analysis I want to take a closer look at Bitcoin's performance over the last few weeks. My earlier analyses proved to be wrong, so waiting until the market shows us clarity is always a good idea. Now that BTC has established two higher-lows after the big sell-off on March 5th, we can say with some confidence that BTC is currently trading in a bull-flag...

FieryTrading

In this analysis we talk more about yesterday's analysis where I discussed the completely normal correction that BTC has been seeing. Furthermore, chances are that we will see more of those correction in the coming months. As seen on the chart, Bitcoin sees multiple deep corrections (>20%) during bull-cycles. Sometimes they are less excessive, but >20% is...

FieryTrading

Bitcoin has been trading relatively bearish over the last month. However, this appears to be normal trading behaviour after a new all-time high has been made. As seen on the chart, BTC did the same thing two cycles ago. Make a new ATH by ~7%, and then dump ~33%. Not sure whether we will dump 33% this time due to diminishing returns theory. Looking at this...

FieryTrading

In this analysis I want to take a look at ETH's price action over the last few weeks. It appears that ETH is underway to form a classical pattern that most of you a familiar with, a dead cat bounce into another sell-off. Keep in mind, the dead cat has not been confirmed yet, since the price needs to go below the purple dotted line. Still, it's a pattern that will...

FieryTrading

With BTC selling off, alts are naturally following suit. However, I think that it's more likely than not that alts will bounce soon. As for FTM, this token is currently around 30% down from the top after a massive run-up. The 4H RSI is oversold for the first time since the huge run-up started in January. Furthermore, the price is currently sitting at the 0.382...

FieryTrading

In this analysis I want to take a closer look at ALT and the bullish channel it appears to be trading in. To maximize potential gains (and chances for a bullish reversal), I'm going to wait for the price to reach the bottom support. If BTC reverses in the near future it might be the case that the entry won't be hit, which is fine. Entry is placed at 0.52 for...

FieryTrading

After bottoming out around 61k, BTC has seen a sizeable bullish correction. Over the last few days, BTC has been trading mostly sideways in a bull-flag / channel pattern. This signal makes the assumption that BTC will continue to make higher-lows in the short-term and will eventually break out and make new all-time highs. Fairly confident that the pending break...

FieryTrading

In this analysis I want to talk about a fractal that I recently found. Was looking at Bitcoin's price action over the last few weeks, and realized I recognized that pattern. Bitcoin has been following a very similar pattern (fractal) as the SP500 did during the 2022 bear market and the 2023 bull-market. Keep in mind that fractals will rarely be exactly the same,...

FieryTrading Updated 

In this analysis I'm going to take an attempt at making an educated guesss at when Bitcoin will top, purely based on price action. On the chart you can see Bitcoin's price action over the last 13 years on the 2-week chart. The arrows are drawn from the first candle close above the previous all-time high (purple lines). In short, it takes between 17 - 24 bars...

FieryTrading Updated 

In this analysis I want to discuss the possibility that Bitcoin's temporary correction might be at the ending stages and that the bullish trend might continue in the near future. I want to look at two things: - The price has hit the purple dotted support on the chart. - The RSI has hit oversold on the 4H chart for the first time since late January, at the start...

FieryTrading Updated 

Preface: I'm still bullish on the crypto market as a whole. I still think it's likely we're going to make new highs in the near future. This is a more short-term oriented trade and will only be activated under certain conditions. In this analysis I want to shed some light on a pattern that one of my commenters recently informed me about. Although it's not the...