Elysian_Mind

Analyzing a Potential Bearish Channel: BTCUSD Medium-Term Idea

Short
COINBASE:BTCUSD   Bitcoin
Dear TradingView Community,

I share a medium-term outlook with you all. Please bear in mind that this prediction is subject to short-term price fluctuations, and its outcome hinges on how various technical factors align. Our AI system, having drawn insights from deep neural network analysis, has detected the potential emergence of a bearish channel pattern.

On the chart's left side, you'll find a historical record of the linear regression algorithm's past accuracy. These patterns held on the given dates. However, since October 23, 2023, we have observed the formation of a possible rising channel pattern, which typically indicates a bearish trend. It's essential to remember that historical results don't guarantee future returns of investments.

So, what technical indicators support the notion of a bearish channel pattern? Notably, the volume has declined since the mentioned date, hinting at consolidation or more. Historical data has shown that volume patterns often align with channel formations. It underscores the importance of the volume indicator about the channel pattern idea.

Furthermore, on November 01, 2023, many traders opened short positions, leading to a market shakeup that resulted in numerous liquidations within 12 hours. In chart analysis, channels frequently feature candles of various colors, as illustrated by the colored boxes on our chart. If we encase the 4-hour candles since the initial date within a similar rectangle, we already see a diverse range of candle colors. This candle analysis complements our bearish outlook.

If the bearish channel materializes and Bitcoin (BTC) begins a descent on the BTCUSD market, standard patterns suggest the price could drop below $32,000 (marked by the horizontal white line). It might dip below $31,000 (indicated by the dotted horizontal line). While various indicators align with the possibility of a rising channel on the charts, it's crucial to recognize that this pattern is not confirmed yet. There's a chance that we may not witness this pattern at all in the coming months.

Therefore, I encourage caution and prioritizing the safety of your existing funds over aggressive day trading. Your financial security should always be your primary objective.

tl;dr
Position: Short
Target Price: $33000-$31000
Possible Pattern: Rising Channel
Near Trend: Bullish
Medium Trend: Potentially Bearish
Indicators: Candles, Volume, Tops and bottoms, Trendlines, Liquidation Metrics
Important: Don't forget your stop loss and trail profit if you decide to put any positions.

Have any questions? If you ask, we answer.

Warm regards,
ELY

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