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BTC Halving only few hours away! Youre NOT READY for this rally!

Long
INDEX:BTCUSD   Bitcoin
Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is less than a day (only a few hours) away from the new Halving and naturally all eyes are on this historic event, the 4th in succession. We all know the fundamental specifics and how a -50% less Supply can drive the price higher as long as Demand stays intact.

What people may not know (or may not be able to comprehend) is the pure magnitude of the rally that is about to begin in the next few weeks. Let's put all into technical context in order to understand just how high BTC can go.

** Fibonacci Channel and Mayer Multiple Bands **
We are all familiar with the Channel Up that started on the December 2017 High. With some variations, it has been so far very consistent. The application of the Fibonacci Channel retracement levels and the Mayer Multiple Bands, helps us get a good understand of the relative position we might be at compared to the previous Cycle.

** Have we been here before? **
As you can see, BTC has been consolidating since the March 04 1W candle within the 0.382 - 0.5 Fibonacci Channel range. At the same time, the Mayer Multiple Standard Deviation Upper 1 level (grey line) is supporting, in fact it was touched this week. The is a similar price action amoung the exact same levels we had from November 16 to December 07 2020. Interestingly enough, the 1W CCI sequences that preceded this between the two fractals, are also similar.

** How high can we go? **
As for how high the Cycle can rise to? The previous Cycle peaked on the 1.618 Fibonacci extension (from the previous High to the bottom). The same specification gives us $170000. But besides the 1.618, the price reached the top of the Channel Up and the MM STD Upper 2 (orange line), making a rise from the consolidation's low of +300%. If this happens again, BTC can even reach $240000.

This is far from an unrealistic range projection, $170k - $240k, for the Cycle High. But what do you think? Will we fall somewhere between or higher/ lower? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!


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