DrDovetail

4hr deathcross nears…can 2 bull patterns be enough to reverse it

BITSTAMP:BTCUSD   Bitcoin
We currently have 2 4hr chart bull patterns forming a little falling wedge bull pennant pattern(in yellow) and a potential small 4hr inverted head and shoulders pattern....a breakup at the right point from the falling wedge pennant could give the bulls enough breakup momentum to get above the neckline of the 4hr inverted head and shoulders and even potentially trigger it...if this were to occur we could see a brief trip back up to the 3950 range. However even if this were to occur I don't think the momentum will be big enough to prevent the 4hr death cross or even flip it quickly back to a golden cross...so while both these patterns may very possibly break bullishly I think the end result is still going to be a sustained 4hr death cross and a bearish drop in price action to go with it. If they don't break bullish and it just continues to break down from here then I think we may see a double bottom bounce at the 1 week chart's 200ma around 3260 or so...if we do break upwards and hit the inv h&s target of 3950 or so there may be enough fomo generated at that point to get above the neckline of the much bigger inverted head and shoulders pattern around 4k at this point...I could potentially see this setting a huge bull trap at this point and if we did inch above the neckline I think there would be such a spike in longs that it would set the perfect bull trap for a big capitulation candle inv h&s fakeout crash from there...one that could drop to 2.8-2.9k or possibly even lower. Of course I always gotta also factor in the slim possibility however that it could actually legitimately trigger that bigger inverted head and shoulders pattern as well and take us to over 5k but that seems very improbable at this point especially with the 4hr deathcross on track to happen in the enxt 8 hours or so. Of course with crypto nothing is impossible so I can't discount the possibility entirety. Thanks for reading and understanding this is not financial advice!
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