Monicagrizzi

Price analysis 4/27: BTC, ETH, BNB, XRP

CME:BTC1!   Bitcoin CME Futures
BTC and select altcoins could be gearing up for an oversold move, but traders beware, it's likely to be a dead cat bounce.

The U.S. dollar index (DXY) has risen above the highs created in March 2020 and may next challenge the multi-year highs set in January 2017. Bitcoin’s (BTC) price action is generally inversely connected to DXY. Therefore, unless the dollar reverses its sharp uptrend, a strong recovery in Bitcoin may be difficult.

Although Bitcoin has not confirmed a bottom, institutional investors seem to have started their purchases at lower levels. Canada’s Purpose Bitcoin exchange-traded fund added 1,132 BTC to its holdings, according to data analytics platform Coinglass. Behavior analytics resource Santiment also suggested that the crowd’s interest in buying the dip hit a six-week high.

The crypto sector has been under pressure in 2022 but that has not reduced venture-capital (VC) activity in different blockchain sectors. The first quarter of 2022 has witnessed VC investments of more than $14.6 billion in the blockchain industry, which is 48% of the total investments made by VCs in 2021. This shows the long-term growth potential of the industry.

Could Bitcoin and altcoins start a recovery from their respective support levels? Let’s study the charts of the top-10 cryptocurrencies to find out.

Bitcoin’s recovery on April 26 stalled at the 20-day exponential moving average (EMA) ($40,618), suggesting that the sentiment remains negative and traders are selling on rallies. A minor positive is that the price has rebounded off the support line of the ascending channel on April 27, indicating that bulls are attempting to defend this level.

If the bounce sustains, the bulls will again strive to push the price above the 20-day EMA and the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) (S42,038). If they succeed, it will suggest that the BTC/USDT pair could extend its stay inside the channel for a few more days.

Conversely, if the price turns down from the current level or the 20-day EMA and breaks below the channel, it will suggest that bears are in control. The pair could then slide to $34,300 and later to $32,917.

ETH/USDT

Ether (ETH) once again turned down from the 20-day EMA ($3,014) on April 26, indicating that bears continue to sell on rallies to this level. The bears will now try to pull the price to the uptrend line.

If bears sink the price below the uptrend line, the ETH/USDT pair could slide toward $2,450. The bulls will attempt to stall the decline at this level but if they fail, the selling could accelerate and the pair may drop to $2,159.

Alternatively, if the price rises from the current level, the buyers will make one more attempt to propel the pair above the 20-day EMA. If they manage to do that, the pair could rise to $3,200 and later attempt an up-move to the 200-day SMA ($3,470).

BNB/USDT

BNB closed below the immediate support at $391 on April 26, indicating near-term weakness. The bulls are currently attempting to push the price back above the breakdown level.


The price has bounced off the support and the buyers will now try to propel the DOT/USDT pair above the 50-day SMA ($19.39). If they succeed, it will suggest that the pair may extend its stay inside the range for a few more days.

Conversely, if the price slips and sustains below $16, it will indicate that supply exceeds demand. The pair could then decline to the critical support at $14. This is an important level for the bulls to defend because a break below it could signal the resumption of the downtrend.

The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph. Every investment and trading move involves risk. You should conduct your own research when making a decision.

Market data is provided by HitBTC exchange.

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