AVAX → Avalanche Pullback Complete? Long to $50 or Higher!
AVAX ran three pushes up in a bull channel just shy of the 2022 Resistance area topping out at $50. That was followed by a pullback and a strong bull signal. Is it time to long?
How do we trade this? 🤔
A long entry is close to being justified! Here's what we have in favor of the long bias; Three pushes up in a bull channel ending at $50 (psychological number because it's even) just below the 2022 resistance price of $53.25, followed by three pushes down in a micro-bear channel, the final push of the bear channel ended in a strong bull signal bar, and we have a good bull bar close on the third after the signal bar.
What we need now is a strong bill close above the 30EMA. A desirable data point would be a re-test of the micro-bear channel resistance as support to add probability to our long. However, I do not believe this is required to justify a long entry.
I believe we need to be conservative longing at this stage in the crypto market, which is why I only advocate for a 1:1 scalp at a lower than maximum position size allowed for your trading strategy. I think Bitcoin and Ethereum have a larger pullback on the horizon, but do believe the market will come up a bit before it goes down.
💡 Trade Idea 💡
Long Entry: $34.90
🟥 Stop Loss: $23.90
✅ Take Profit: $45.90
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:1
🔑 Key Takeaways 🔑
1. Three pushes up in a bull channel ending at 2022 Resistance.
2. Micro Bear Channel forms with three pushes down.
3. Strong bull signal buy bar on the third push.
4. Wait for a close above the Daily 30EMA to enter a long position.
5. RSI at 46.00 and above the Moving Average, supports long bias.
💰 Trading Tip 💰
The longer a trend continues after 3 legs, the probability of that trend continuing lessens. Because of this decreased probability, we ought to reduce our risk when entering trades.
⚠️ Risk Warning! ⚠️
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your trades. Trade at your own risk!
Like 👍 and Follow to learn more about:
1. Reading Price Action
2. Chart Analysis
3. Trade Management
4. Trading Psychology
How do we trade this? 🤔
A long entry is close to being justified! Here's what we have in favor of the long bias; Three pushes up in a bull channel ending at $50 (psychological number because it's even) just below the 2022 resistance price of $53.25, followed by three pushes down in a micro-bear channel, the final push of the bear channel ended in a strong bull signal bar, and we have a good bull bar close on the third after the signal bar.
What we need now is a strong bill close above the 30EMA. A desirable data point would be a re-test of the micro-bear channel resistance as support to add probability to our long. However, I do not believe this is required to justify a long entry.
I believe we need to be conservative longing at this stage in the crypto market, which is why I only advocate for a 1:1 scalp at a lower than maximum position size allowed for your trading strategy. I think Bitcoin and Ethereum have a larger pullback on the horizon, but do believe the market will come up a bit before it goes down.
💡 Trade Idea 💡
Long Entry: $34.90
🟥 Stop Loss: $23.90
✅ Take Profit: $45.90
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:1
🔑 Key Takeaways 🔑
1. Three pushes up in a bull channel ending at 2022 Resistance.
2. Micro Bear Channel forms with three pushes down.
3. Strong bull signal buy bar on the third push.
4. Wait for a close above the Daily 30EMA to enter a long position.
5. RSI at 46.00 and above the Moving Average, supports long bias.
💰 Trading Tip 💰
The longer a trend continues after 3 legs, the probability of that trend continuing lessens. Because of this decreased probability, we ought to reduce our risk when entering trades.
⚠️ Risk Warning! ⚠️
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your trades. Trade at your own risk!
Like 👍 and Follow to learn more about:
1. Reading Price Action
2. Chart Analysis
3. Trade Management
4. Trading Psychology
Comment:
AVAX ended up finding support on top of the Micro-Bear Channel Support at the Daily 30EMA. The price rallied to $43.50 before falling back down to $35. It's reasonable to remain in a long if you entered near $35 after support was established at the 30EMA.
AVAX ended up finding support on top of the Micro-Bear Channel Support at the Daily 30EMA. The price rallied to $43.50 before falling back down to $35. It's reasonable to remain in a long if you entered near $35 after support was established at the 30EMA.
-Joe Dean
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Zooming into the 4HR chart, AVAX is attempting to establish support on the 4HR 200EMA. Is we get a strong bull close above support and outside of the micro-bear channel resistance line, it's reasonable to enter the proposed long position.