OlympusLab

AUDUSD SELL | CPI, RBA Gov Lowe speaks | 31st May 2023

Short
OANDA:AUDUSD   Australian Dollar / U.S. Dollar
Fundamental Backdrop
  • RBA Gov Lowe spoke today
  • He mentioned "Very Much in Data-Dependent Mode on Interest Rates", "
    "Monetary Policy in Restrictive Territory"
  • This means that the RBA is closely monitoring economic data and could potentially continue increasing interest rates
  • CPI y/y also increased from 6.3% to 6.8%, this shows inflation is still on a strong rise which can lead to the increase in interest rates.

Technical Confluences
  • Near-term resistance level at 0.65100
  • Near-term support level at 0.64150

Idea
Today's speech by RBA Gov Lowe indicates towards raising more interest rates in the future.
Based on previous data whenever the RBA raises interest rates, the AUD rises a few days before it drops.
We could see the AUD head towards the next support level at 0.64150 if interest rates are raised on 6th June.






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