Owner of Wechat (Biggest social media app in china -> 1.1BILLION Monthly active users), Biggest Game publisher, King of VCs (with stakes in 600+ fast-growing companies)
Fundamental valuation
Fair Price Fwd P/FCF of 25 w/ 25% FCF growth per share = 25 X (20HKD FCF per share) + 28.33 HKD cash per share = 528.33 HKD
Entry Price with Margin of Safety of 10% = 475 HKD
Entry Price with Margin of Safety of 20% = 422 HKD
[bTechnicals
Likely to bounce off the strong upward support in the near term, might present as a good swing trade. However, prefer to invest at under 500HKD for the long-term play on strong china macro tailwinds.
Fundamental valuation
Fair Price Fwd P/FCF of 25 w/ 25% FCF growth per share = 25 X (20HKD FCF per share) + 28.33 HKD cash per share = 528.33 HKD
Entry Price with Margin of Safety of 10% = 475 HKD
Entry Price with Margin of Safety of 20% = 422 HKD
[bTechnicals
Likely to bounce off the strong upward support in the near term, might present as a good swing trade. However, prefer to invest at under 500HKD for the long-term play on strong china macro tailwinds.