Need to get above 20 DMA to change direction and confirm intermediate to long term bull run.
Huge short interest, probably going to cover going into earnings. Negative news is already heavily baked into price, few asset sales have improved liquidity, natural gas is bottoming and will likely rise into the fall and winter. And I suspect margins will continue to improve via cost cutting and improved efficiency.
Apple has been in a bull trend for a little over a year, that over all trend is not broken YET. BUT for the last year it has consolidated in a channel for about 3 moths, then broken out (typically after earnings) to new highs. This last earnings it did not break out of the channel (bounced off the old high). This could be early signs of long term trend reversal....
Monthly SPX chart shows we have been moving parabolic since 1994 (prior to this we were on a steady in my opinion more reasonable rise). The parabolic moves up and down seem to last between 4-6 years. We are currently 5 years into the current bull run, approaching the upper limits of the channel. The MACD looks like it wants to cross. Fib levels and the bottom...
Enter conservatively at 525, Aggressive at 512 once gap is fill.
Starting july 2011 there was a 3 month trading range between 360 and 420, then a gap up, then a parabolic move up for 3 months. We were trading in a similar range for the last 3 months between 390-515, then gapped up today on heavy volume. Is it possible this is the beginning of another parabolic move up? We need volume the next few weeks to confirm. Watch...