koshcoin

koshcoin

US. DXY. Stop. One month before the election. I believe that a new wave of weakening national currencies against the US dollar is coming next to stop the madness. I do not expect the trend to continue up to 120-150 for now. But the trend has not been broken yet. This is a monthly chart and few waves only we are likely to witness during our life. -ks

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This is a two-part series. Part two. Will it long? Now, let's look above the horizon. There are In two possible targets to close long 4500-4700 and 5200. Around 4600 it is a strong braking point on the monthly TF and I'm now sure that the SP500 will take that easily. It should be mentioned that all these targets are true only if a local lowest low will remain...

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This is a two-part series. Part one. Will it short? In the previous series we found two reactions in 2000 and 2008. Now, let's try to look behind the corner to see how deep the rabbit hole might be. We take weekly chart, two SMA (monthly) 100 and 200, a yellow support area that was formed in November 2020 ("unfinished gelstate"), and three independent...

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This is a two-series post. Part 2. US. Present is all we will have in a future. Since 2000 the US market has only two times when it dropped below monthly trendline those were in 2001 and 2008. Now, in 2022 it is a third time! We don’t know how it will work out, like 2-1 or 3-0, it’s a kind of a game for each and all to make a side. It’s so exciting,...

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This is a two-series post. Part 1. US. History is all we have. This is a very simple and kind of a useful technique but only if you know what you’re looking for. The rule is not a rocket science that says: the market is a pure chaos between two points A and B under research. Obviously, all we need is to find that potential turning point like A or B to take a...

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US market an unplanned update. We’ve entered a very hectic zone with a possibility of getting underwater up to - 50%. Similar we had on May 14, 2001, and on May 12, 2008 (weekly). We don’t know how it will work out from now. Despite my bullish head, stops are tight to get what is mine by right of blood. - ks

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USA. It's time for an update. So. The US market looks confident and peaceful. While everyone is shorting, piece by piece bears are falling apart. So it was and so it will always be. At least for now. In my dumb experience, a bunch of short traders joined in May. "Sell in May and go away" they say. "But then July declares", I'd like to add. The two yellow vertical...

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Maybe it's the way God made me Maybe it's just a mental block All I know is I'm gon' be waiting But the drawdaown still unlocked -ks

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No changes since last time. We're a week ahead of the strong bullish signal. Patience is gold. -ks

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That's it. We landed off from the lower band of the inicial channel. Now, let's see how strong the western capitalism is. -ks

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Despite the fact I don’t like this, I admit that correction became deeper than I thought initially. Ok. In my world that is still a correction. I don’t see a bear market yet. Due to sanctions I had to close all my positions in US market. No more us assets are available. And I’m looking into derivatives on US now. And I hope that I will find them soon. The second...

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Finally, a potentially turning point is on the cards. Since last week of April the Russian market has found some solace. Although there’s a big chance of a new wave of turbulence, I believe that May is going to be a-near-bottom month. Will see. -kc

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A pullback at its end. Let's pretend that we'are going higher, much higher. The time for a bear market has not come yet, I believe. 1/4 of the year is over. We may suppose that this year will be closed a bit higher than its open. -ks

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Looks like a black swan. An update will be published soon. No worries. The index will recover.

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Fortune favors the bold. The red brick worked out. Now the time to rebalance. Although the potencial is still there. -kc

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RF . A strong buyback was indicated last week, but there is still no mid term long signal. If everything goes well this week it might show up later this week. Meantime, the index in the potential strong turning point at 3650 which we'll touch this week I suppose. The second week may turn down with a local dip of the month around Feb 9-14. Let's check. For sure,...

koshcoin

US. Last week showed us a great buying momentum as mentioned. Technically, one more wave down is possible. Therefore, I am looking for a mid term long signal with 50% in cash in my pocket. In case any correction lower low, I will pick up index upto 75% according to the plan. -kc

koshcoin

US. The price is comming to the first medium-term support that has been following since May 2020! Despite all odds and uncertainty, I believe that the upcoming weeks will provide excellent buying opportunities. Any pullbacks if any within 5-10%, I will use as buying opportunities. -kc