brandonmattis

brandonmattis

Price target: $70.00/share As part of my inverse big tech ETF... Apple is another SHORT position going into this economic slowdown. Projecting $AAPL to decline about -60% to the 200-D MA, the .618 fib, and the pre-pandemic level. 1) Cause: Operating margin are coming down. Effect: Apple cutting costs (Bearish setup) 2) Market cap still holding on which is why...

brandonmattis

Remain neutral/bearish on gold & silver until the US10Y, DXY, & Fed Funds Rates tops. This is the first time since the de-pegging of USD/Gold (in 1975) that interest rates & the USD have been rising. This creates an extremely tough environment for gold & silver to significantly rally being under pressure from high dollar & rising interest rates. Despite...

brandonmattis

Probably not. In order for the next bull market to occur, we need... 1) The top in the Fed Funds rate 2) The top in US10Y 3) Top in USD 4) Economic stability In Chart: Fed Funds & DXY still surging higher.

brandonmattis

Long: - USD strength/Yen weakness (QT in US/QE in Japan) - Global USD shortage (foreign governments need USD = Bullish) Price Target(s): 160.00 ** If 160 is broken, 180.00 next level to watch **

brandonmattis

Commodities are currently repricing lower due to the looming global slowdown. Meaning, there is more potential downside for commodities However, There are more significant tailwinds that will push commodity prices higher in the longer term. DBA ETF broke out of yearly downtrend in 2020 indicating that higher food prices are in the global outlook for the...

brandonmattis

Strong Sell: - Strong dollar (US) - Policy - Inflation & Interest rates - Growth Outlook too optimistic Price Target: $10,000/BTC

brandonmattis

Peak Earnings (Mar. 22') + Peak Stock Price (~$1,200) = Lower Stock Price Price Target: $70/share $TSLA

brandonmattis

Looking for DXY to retrace within the top third of the range (102.424 - 102.730)

brandonmattis

The correlation between the 2Y & gold indicates that when the US2Y peaks, there is a US recession & gold rallies to new highs subsequently after. ** 1 = Peak in US2Y ( 1989 ) did not see a rally in gold because gold was depegged from the USD in the mid 1970's. 2 = Peak in US2Y ( 2000 ) saw a massive rally in gold as investors look for a safe haven from the...

brandonmattis

Sentiment: Extreme Cautious US consumers are being forced to pay more for basic needs -- food & gas (blue line) As a result, they are saving their cash (red line) & not investing (white & yellow lines) in preparation of the uncertainty that lies ahead. ** Blue Line - BLACKBULL:WTI Red Line - FX:USDJPY White Line - SP:SPX Yellow Line - TVC:GOLD **

brandonmattis

I predict EU will fall due to USD strength on/near June 14-15 (FOMC) meeting. Then, the Euro will strengthen on the wake/post ECB meeting at the end of July (26).

brandonmattis

(Fibonacci Analysis on Ethereum) 3 Ideas: Short (2) , Long (1) All ideas are predicted to terminate by the end of the weekend (May 22 into May 23). Follow on Twitter: @YRN_BRANDO

brandonmattis Updated 

Intraday Idea: LONG When price gets near, around & below $27K handle, look to buy . Targeting $30K handle The .50 level of the Fib Retracement & .75 level of the Fib Resistance Fan act as static & dynamic support levels. Price Target : $30,000.00 BTC SHORT When price gets near, around, & above $30K handle, look to sell ....

brandonmattis

Base Case: "The Final Rally" Blue dots provides good dates & price levels to enter short or long position(s). Idea (1): LONG Entry Price: 11,500.00 Entry Date: June 6, 22' Price Target: ~$14,350.00 Date Target: Mid to Late Aug. 22' Idea (2): SHORT Entry Price: ~$14,350.00 Entry Date: Mid to Late Aug. 22' Price Target:...

brandonmattis

Base Case: Given the current macro risks to global markets, I anticipate markets enter the late cycle starting from Mid-to-Late July lasting until Q1 2023 for the oncoming bear market. Idea: (Long) Entry Price: $30,000.00 Entry Date: Late July 22' Price Target: $36,500.00 Date Target: Jan. 23' (Short) Entry Price: $36,500.00 Entry Date: Jan. 23' - Mar....

brandonmattis

Base Case: US Equities are experiencing broad base revaluations due to excess demand in the markets from the 2020 Stimulus. As a result, current markets are survival of the fittest & higher interest rate environments do not suit equities. I believe the markets are currently pricing in the highly anticipated two 50bps (FEDS FUNDS RATE) on June 14-15 & July 26-27...

brandonmattis

Notes: Expecting financial markets to rally amid FOMC summer hikes. Entering "Complacency" (June 06, 2022 - Feb 2023) in market cycle. Entering "Anxiety" (Nov. 2022 - Oct. 2023) in market cycle. Hedge Idea (Long): Entry Price: $3,923.00 Entry Date: June 06, 2022 Price Target: $4,500.00 Date Target: Nov. 2022 (Short): Entry Price: $4,500.00 Entry...

brandonmattis

Hedge Idea ( Long ): Entry: $1899.00 Entry Date: July 4 - Sept. 07 Price Target: $4,000.00 Target Date: Q4 22' - Q1 23' ( Short ) Entry: $4,000.00 Entry Date: Q4 22' - Q1 23' Price Target: $1899.00 Target Date: Q2 23'