Looks like the bottom is on track for early tomorrow Minute wave 5 should end tomorrow morning simultaneously ending Minor wave 5 and Intermediate wave 1 inside of Primary wave 1 of Cycle wave C. Minute wave 1 was only 3 hours long, and Minute wave 3 was only 2 hours long. This would mean Minute wave 5 should be 2 hours or less in duration. The quickest way to the...
Looks like the bottom is on track for early tomorrow Minute wave 5 should end tomorrow morning simultaneously ending Minor wave 5 and Intermediate wave 1 inside of Primary wave 1 of Cycle wave C. Minute wave 1 was only 3 hours long, and Minute wave 3 was only 2 hours long. This would mean Minute wave 5 should be 2 hours or less in duration. The quickest way to the...
The chart holds the expected movement for the beginning of the week if we are in the final wave down of Intermediate wave 1. Minor wave 4 moved nearly on target with a reversal at the maximum historically observed reversal point and ran one hour beyond the models, however it fell drastically as expected. That idea can be viewed here: I initially believed the...
The chart holds the expected movement for the beginning of the week if we are in the final wave down of Intermediate wave 1. Minor wave 4 moved nearly on target with a reversal at the maximum historically observed reversal point and ran one hour beyond the models, however it fell drastically as expected. That idea can be viewed here: I initially believed the...
If we are in Intermediate wave 1 down, we are likely near the end of Minor wave 4 up. Here is confirmation of wave 3 of 3 with the pink bars aligning in the bottom indicator at Minute wave 3 (green) inside of Minor wave 3 (yellow): There is a chance Minor wave 4 up has finished and was only 2 hours long. While the other likely option and one pursued in this...
Here is a very rough path if the end of Primary wave 1 is in October 2023 and above 4030. We are currently signaling a wave 3 of 3 meaning some sort of upward movement should begin within the next 2 days and possibly last 1-4 days.
Still awaiting additional price confirmation we are in Cycle wave C downward, but here is the current forecast if the current market top holds. My hourly program generated the usual waypoints based on historical data. Interestingly enough, Cycle wave A (the downward period between January – October 2022 was 1365 trading hours. Not to be outdone, Cycle wave B...
The index never dropped today, which points to the second thesis that we were already in the final Minor wave 5 upward. The SP:SPX is not clear on position and waves, however, the futures are much clearer. This 15 minute chart outlines the possible Minor wave 4 path from start to finish along with current position in Minor wave 5. The bottom for the market...
With our newest program online, we will relook at the market top from an hourly data viewpoint based on historical wave relationships. The first set will determine the expected behavior of Intermediate wave 5, and then Primary wave C will be examined. Current belief is the market is in Sub-Millennial wave 1, Grand Supercycle wave 5, Supercycle wave 2, Cycle wave...
Our newest system is online and in the Beta testing phase for forecasting waves. We will use this to project Minor wave 4 endpoints on an hourly chart. Based on historical data, models for waves ending in BC54, are broken into the following quartile retracement levels: 10.12%, 32.79%, and 40.09%. Strongest model agreement for length points to Minor wave 4 lasting...
Rescaling Minor wave 1 to the top on June 30, and the low three days later as Minor wave 2 would put market in or near the end of Minor wave 3 up. Based on models ending in C53, Minor wave 3 could last 6 days, with second model agreement at 9 days, third agreement is back at 2 and 4 days. Least agreement is shared at 11, 13, 21, and 30 days. Today is day 9 and...
Here is a recalculated path to possible market bottom IF the current market top is in. Key Takeaways: Not as shallow or long as initial projections For now the bottom could be around August-September 2024 and no longer at the end of 2024 or first quarter of 2025 as initially projected. The maximum bottom based on historical data is 2850 and not likely. At best...
Courtesy of the famous market psychology image from Wall Street Cheat Sheet. We will continue down, but it is only temporary. The market will be stronger than it is today in a few years
If we are in the final Intermediate wave 5 up in Cycle wave B, it is possible we are in the final Minor wave up (wave 5) as well. This would mean Minor waves 1 and 2 lasted a single day, wave 3 was 2 days and wave 4 was 3 days. The original projections for Intermediate wave 5 are the vertical white lines marking the end of day 10 and day 12 as well as the movement...
Now that we have returned to Primary wave C in Cycle wave B up, the new forecasted top is contained herein. This will likely extend the final drop into later 2024 than initially proposed in the last analysis since Cycle wave B will likely last an additional month and go higher. We are most likely in the final Intermediate wave 5 up, while it is slightly possible...
Assuming we are early into the long trip downward would put us somewhere in the early stages of Cycle wave C down, Primary wave 1 down, Intermediate wave 2 up. This would have made Intermediate wave 1 down 5 trading days long with a 120.39 point drop. Based on waves ending in C12, Intermediate wave 2 will last 1 day. There are zero other possible lengths. The...
I mentioned an analysis would be published in the event the market has not topped. This analysis can be useful if the market abides by it we could return up, otherwise it can help confirm the market top did occur on June 16. If the top from June 16 was not the market top we are likely in Intermediate wave 4 and may have possibly finished the bottom with the low...
Based on the theory the market has topped, the following is what we should roughly see next. There is still a chance Cycle B is not completed and I will outline what that could look like later this week or next. A few of those theories have us in only Intermediate wave 3 of Primary wave C of Cycle wave B up with the next possible market top around 4631. However,...