The USD/CAD exchange rate continues its decline from around the mid-1.3500s, reaching its highest level in almost two months and remaining under selling pressure for the second consecutive day on Wednesday. The reduction in the forecast for domestic oil production growth for 2024 by the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) in the February Short-Term Energy...
GBPAUD shows a bullish structure in H4 with the price returning to test the supply zone. Here, the price could reverse towards 1.9280, where we find strong liquidity corresponding to a daily low on M15 and a swing low on H4. Personally, I am waiting for a structural change on M15 to enter the market. I will keep you updated on the situation. Greetings from Nicola...
In this model, we define an approach that I personally use a lot, namely the creation of a demand or supply zone on the H4. In this case, we are observing a demand zone. Once the zone has been plotted on the chart, we wait for a retracement on the M15, and as soon as the market shows a structural change, in this case to the upside during the three London, pre-NY,...
On the USDJPY front, the potential for a swing analysis is once again evident, highlighted by the recent foray into the supply zone. Specifically, the swing levels prove to be highly sensitive, precisely delineating the actual liquidity areas that the price reaches. Currently, the price stands at 148.39 after a strong breakthrough, following the NFP data, above...
GBP/USD continues to stay in positive territory above 1.2600 during Wednesday's American session. The pair benefited from improved risk sentiment on Tuesday, recording a 0.5% increase and offsetting much of Monday's losses. The decrease in US Treasury bond yields led to the depreciation of the US dollar against its major rivals on Tuesday. Meanwhile, Bank of...
Oil has found support in a demand zone, with a retest of an upward trendline and a 0.62% Fibonacci level, suggesting the possibility of a recovery towards new highs. On the chart, I've identified a yellow box where the price could consolidate, drawing liquidity below the swing low before resuming the upward movement. As for the fundamental analysis: Qatar is...
EUR/USD has recovered to the 1.0750 area and stabilized during the day after dropping towards 1.0720 in Tuesday's European session. The US dollar maintains its strength across the currency market, despite the momentum easing along with the run-up in government bond yields. Financial markets are still digesting the global delays in interest rate cuts, which are not...
After a quiet European session near $2,020 on Tuesday, gold turned higher and surpassed $2,030. Following Monday's sharp increase, the yield on the benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond fell by more than 1% during the day, allowing XAU/USD to rise further. Financial markets are all focused on delayed interest rate cuts after central bankers worldwide have tempered...
On the U.S. stock market front, there has been a significant increase in the S&P 500 index, which closed the session with a gain of 0.76% compared to the values before January 29. The opening was in line with the closure of the previous session, but during the day, there was a strengthening, culminating in the closure near the day's highs. Analysis of Status and...
Today I wanted to talk about two scenarios concerning market structure: the equal high for a bullish structure and the low sweep for a bearish structure. The crucial point of each setup, as always, is to identify a structural change called BOS. From there, I start looking for a demand or supply zone in the market where we should pay attention to observe the price...
In this model, we will examine a tactical approach to achieve high-performance entry. It all starts with an uptrend characterized by continuous structural changes. In fact, there are continuous directional changes until the retest of the supply zone on M30. Subsequently, the market reacts to this zone by pushing downwards and generating a CHoCH. Here, switching to...
In my analysis model, I focus on a bearish structure, where I identify the so-called "false demand zones" (SM Trap). It all starts with a supply zone, where the price begins to decline, creating a liquidity zone with a double bottom. Subsequently, the price retests the supply zone, declines again, and breaks the false demand zone, generating another one. Then, the...
The GBP/USD, after a significant descent, has finally reached the demand zone at the level of 1.2535. In this area, I anticipate a possible upward structural change on M15 during tomorrow's London session. Subsequently, I could consider entering the market with the goal of reaching the level of 1.2626, where a significant liquidity volume is present. Regarding...
EUR/NZD is showing an upward trend with a rising momentum that aligns perfectly with the demand zone. Here, the price is reacting in the early hours of today, right at the Fibonacci level of 0.62%. This area could propel the price towards the upper part of the bullish channel, approaching the supply zone where a liquidity grab may occur, creating false...
The price of gold is back in positive territory, heading to retest the two-week high of $2,056 set on Wednesday. The US Dollar is losing momentum amid a renewed appetite for risk, as markets applaud China's fiscal support while assessing the interest rate outlook of the United States Federal Reserve. China's Vice Finance Minister, Wang Dongwei, announced on...
Good morning, today I would like to draw your attention to a model that I am integrating into my analyses for this year. In this model, we define simple structural changes either downwards or upwards, in this context downwards using two BOS. Subsequently, we define the main demand zone where the price retests. After the retest, the price breaks upwards the...
EUR/USD, after breaking through a demand zone between 1.07 and 1.0790, is now heading towards another demand area at the level of 1.075, coinciding with the low of the bearish channel. This zone could be significant for an upward reversal in price, with a potential return towards 1.09. It will be crucial to assess the price action at the London opening this...
This strategy is based on identifying a market structure, which can be bullish or bearish. In this specific case, a bullish structure characterized by rising highs and lows is considered. The expectation is for the market to change direction, creating a shock. Subsequently, the formation of a liquidity block is observed during a market consolidation phase,...