The analysis on XAUUSD highlights a likely corrective period for gold, in line with the movement of the US dollar and Treasury bond yields. After a period of steady growth, the price of gold is now consolidating recent gains, with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) signaling a high level of overbought conditions, potentially foreshadowing an imminent downward...
The GBP/USD exchange rate experienced a positive rebound the previous Friday, rising from the round figure of 1.2600 after touching a one-and-a-half-week low. This positive momentum continued into the following Monday, with spot prices reaching a multi-day peak in the range of 1.2660-1.2665 during the Asian session. However, the Relative Strength Index (RSI)...
The EUR/USD exchange rate continues to fluctuate within its daily range above the level of 1.0800 during Friday's American session. Economic data from the United States shows that the ISM Manufacturing PMI decreased more than expected in February, making it difficult for the US dollar to gain momentum. Nonetheless, the EUR/USD has found support around 1.0800 but...
EURNZD has a bearish structure supported by a descending channel, with a high registered at 1.7935 on January 22nd. Currently, the price is in the H4 demand zone. I expect a possible trend reversal, with a change in structure to the upside on M15 followed by a retest in the BOS impulse zone. In this case, if the market follows this scenario, I would enter a long...
EUR/USD maintains modest daily gains just below 1.0800 in Friday's American session. The US dollar struggles to gain strength following the downward revision of December's CPI, allowing the pair to advance. However, EUR/USD fails to sustain its bullish momentum after a two-day bounce and continues to move sideways below 1.0800 as investors look for new catalysts....
The price of gold has seen a decline below $2,030, after reaching $2,040 in response to recent changes in inflation trends in the United States. Meanwhile, the yield of the main ten-year US government bond remains steadily above 4.1%, creating hurdles for the XAU/USD currency pair in seeking positive momentum. Currently, the price of gold (XAU/USD) is in a...
The price of WTI oil maintains an upward direction after Israel rejected Hamas' ceasefire agreement. West Texas Intermediate (WTI), the benchmark for U.S. crude oil, rose by 0.25% towards the end of the North American session, while the conflict between Israel and Hamas intensified with Israel rejecting a ceasefire offer. On Friday, the Israeli army continued its...
The USD/CAD exchange rate is gaining momentum for the second consecutive day during the early Asian session on Wednesday. This increase is supported by the US January Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation data, which is boosting the US Dollar and government bond yields. The Core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, rose by 3.9%, surpassing the...
The AUD/USD maintains slight gains above 0.6500 after the release of Chinese inflation data, which were mixed. In January, China's Consumer Price Index (CPI) fell by 0.8%, compared to the expected -0.5%. The US dollar recorded further losses after reaching a new annual high above 104.00 in the US Dollar Index (DXY) earlier in the week, amidst investor realignment...
The price of Western Texas Intermediate crude oil, the benchmark for US oil, was around $77.50 on Friday. WTI prices rose after weaker-than-expected US retail sales data, fueling hopes that the Federal Reserve will soon begin cutting interest rates in the coming months. The conflict in Gaza between Israel and Palestinian Hamas has yet to see a resolution or...
The EUR/USD exchange rate showed a recovery above 1.0750, after touching a daily low near 1.0730 during the American session. This movement was influenced by data from the United States, which indicated an increase in producer inflation in January, higher than expected, and a marginal improvement in consumer confidence in early February. Nevertheless, the EUR/USD...
The Japanese yen has strengthened slightly in response to verbal intervention by Japanese authorities. The daily chart shows an upward movement of the pair, with 151.00 as the next resistance level, followed by last year's high of 151.91. USD/JPY reached a three-month peak at 150.81 after the US Bureau of Labor Statistics reported further confirmation that...
GBP/AUD presents a bullish structure on H4. After the increase in unemployment demand data for Great Britain, the market gained strength by breaking through a supply zone now turned reversal zone, where I now expect a retracement before continuing the uptrend with the target of the supply zone at the level of 1.9440. At that level, two scenarios can be evaluated:...
GBP/USD has lost its traction and dropped to its lowest level in over a week, near 1.2550, following weak inflation data in the UK on Wednesday. Bank of England Governor Bailey stated that inflation data hadn't really changed their outlook since the February monetary policy decision. After closing in negative territory on Tuesday, GBP/USD continued to decline in...
The GBPNZD situation presents a bearish structure, highlighted by three recent touches on the trendline. However, it currently sits within a demand zone on H4, where yesterday I observed a bounce at the 62% Fibonacci level, supported by an H4 candle. This bounce, in my opinion, is worthy of consideration. Shortly after, the market experienced an uptick, also...
Analyzing the NASDAQ, we see several significant factors. The quote is approaching weekly highs, and the performance over the last five days is positive, with a 0.35% increase, indicating strength in the market. However, the volatility over the last five sessions is higher than the three-month average, signaling a period of uncertainty and fluctuations....
In this context, we define an intelligent order flow, which is a convergence of flows, in this case, downwards, leading the price to create congestions, i.e., internal breaks, and then consolidation phases, i.e., external breaks, which bring the price into the demand zone, where we should consider opening a long position subsequently. The pattern is clear: demand...
In this scenario, we examine a very common approach: trend continuation. The particular aspect of viewing it in this light compared to simply looking at trendlines is how we can identify demand zones and structural changes called BOS. Prices always tend to retrace in these zones before continuing. Personally, I identify demand or supply zones at H4, and once the...