Cincinnatuus

Cincinnatuus Updated 

Silver has been in a deep correction of a Bull Market since July of 2013, with price trading above the 50 week ema, which is below the 200 ema, and both still above the 800 week ema. The 50 week ema is currently trending up, though price has traded down to test the 30 ema and 200 ema around 16.7. A bounce off of those emas is in progress. The Commodity is in a...

Cincinnatuus

The Euro Pound is in a correction of a long-term Bull Market with price trading below the 50 and 200 week emas, with the 50 ema above the 200 week ema which is trending above the 800 ema. The 50 week ema is currently down trending, and the Long-Term B-Wave top is in, so expect this to transition into a Bear Market. This is a currency pair that should be traded...

Cincinnatuus

The Euro Yen is in a long-term Bear Market with price trading above the 50 week ema which is below the 200 week ema which is trading below the 800 ema. The 50 week ema is currently down trending, but price has bounced up to test the 30 ema. This is a currency pair that should be traded from the short side. A long-term down trend line has turn price back down,...

Cincinnatuus

The US Dollar / Swiss Franc is in a Bear Market Rally within a long-term Bear Market with price trading above the 50 week ema which is below the 200 week ema which is trading below the 800 ema. The 50 week ema is currently flattish, implying a period of consolidation creating a trading range. This is a currency pair that can be traded from both the short and...

Cincinnatuus

The US-Canadian Dollar has been in a long-term Bull Market with price trading above the 50 week ema which is above the 200 week ema which is trading above the 800 ema. The 50 week ema is currently flat, implying a period of consolidation. This is a currency pair that can be traded from both the short and long side. The Pair is coming out of a Deep Correction...

Cincinnatuus

The Aussie-Dollar has been in a long-term down turn since September of 2011 and a Bear Market going back to August of 2013. Price is trading below the 50 week ema which is below the 200 week ema which is trading below the 800 ema. The 50 week ema is pointed down. This is a currency pair to only trade from the short side. Price needs to be above the 50 ema, and...

Cincinnatuus

The Pound-Dollar is in an Upwards Correction within a Bear Market on the weekly going back to the beginning of 2015. Price is trading above the 50 week ema trading up to the 200 week ema and a prior a of the (b)-wave top at 1.33806. For the last several weeks it has been in a sideways consolidation, albeit a lot lower than I was expecting. The Pair is in a...

Cincinnatuus Updated 

Expect another Strong Week with a long green candle above the prior resistance / pain threshold and likely into the 200 ema. This would also represent a third candle up as well. Then one should expect the Dealers/Banks/Hedge Funds to work that level for several/many weeks before clearing the board and beginning another run down below support at 1.20. That move is...

Cincinnatuus Updated 

Should open down into the last consolidation from Thursday Friday and then trade up strongly for the rest of the week into prior high from early August which is also the 50 ema on the weekly chart. Looking at the Stochastic/RSI combo on the bottom of the chart there is still time for the pair to go up as well before we see a sell signal.

Cincinnatuus Updated 

Looking for the Pound Swissy to trade off into Monday Tuesday next week and then trade up into the later part of the week to build a double top of sorts on the longer time frame. When looked at on the longer time frame the pair has completed three waves up so needs to correct back down. Most likely targets are the prior fourth wave designated by the dashed...

Cincinnatuus Updated 

Laying out this X-wave Cycle-wave advance in Silver and trying to decide in my mind whether or not to partake… The corrections of the advance are likely to be less extreme than I’ve shown, and the whole thing is more likely to look like an exponential roll-over approaching the 61.8% Fibonacci limit at $18.369. The bottom definitely is not in and there is a...

Cincinnatuus

Reference Chart for Intra-Day S&P 500 Price Action relative to Equilibrium and Pain Levels

Cincinnatuus

Reference Chart for S&P 500 Daily Equilibrium and Pain Thresholds

Cincinnatuus

S&P Weekly Reference chart for Equilibrium and Pain Levels.

Cincinnatuus Updated 

All right! let me see a show of hands. Who got long TLT when I told you to? Ok, it didn’t make it down to $110, but if you listened to me, you at least aren’t Feeling the Burn like the Head and Shoulders Short Sellers are! Ok, if you are long the TLT, get ready for it to rocket up into the $130’s and really start inverting that Loan Curve!

Cincinnatuus Updated 

Silver is doing its best to keep us all guessing as to what it is going to do next. For me it went down instead of up over the time period expected, and then it missed my downside target by ten cents on the upside, only going down to 15 rather than 14.90. I’m an Investor, not a chaser, so it didn’t get my money. Talk about Tricky though! With the authoritative...

Cincinnatuus Updated 

The Miners are getting pulled up by the Precious Metals in their Bear Market rallies. So the Gold Miners should out perform due to leverage on their balance sheets. The price action is definitely corrective in nature, and the pull backs should be shallow because this is a small degree c-wave. So I'm expecting a top above the (a) wave over a year ago some time...

Cincinnatuus Updated 

With the strong c wave up move in gold, prices are now up against overhead resistance from $1350 to $1375. As a result of the authoritative move up in price Friday, the corrective (a) wave down should be done, but Gold should continue to move sideways in some sort of corrective pattern as it works its way against this overhead resistance, and eventually move...