AI has no moral code. It doesn't CARE. 50 retrace, rinse repeat 3 X. Black swan just off stage, waiting to take it. Currency wars, imbalance globally, Yen... does Japan save itself or the world economy, does the US come to their rescue and devalue dollar, stagflation is here, does FED lower rates, save the real estate industry the stock market and this...
Since November 2023, the S&P 500 has been on a steady climb, spanning six months without a significant pullback to the moving average (MA). Typically, such pullbacks are necessary for price stabilization. However, recently, we've observed a pullback accompanied by considerable volume. This suggests that a substantial portion of market participants anticipates a...
S&P 500 The price is on a bearish trajectory aiming for 4997, and it needs to close a 4-hour candle below this level to extend the downtrend towards 4953. The upcoming Federal Reserve rate decision will influence the S&P market. Meanwhile, the price is expected to fluctuate between 4997 and 5039 until a breakout occurs, with a potential retest of 5040 also...
Previous week was the one where the S & P 500 performed in an excellent manner, increasing its index value by 2.7%. The three-week losing track was finally broken, and the index ended the week at level of 5.124. For one more time, tech companies were the ones that were driving the market to the upside, especially after strong earnings from Microsoft and Alphabet....
📊 According to the sales pressure in the market, if the range of 5010 units is broken and the price stabilizes below it, the price may fall to the range of 4990 units🎯, and in case of strength, the range of 4950 units🎯🎯. 📊Otherwise, the possibility of price increase up to the range of 5050 units.
Good evening to all, after a wave A is followed by B which is developing, and can reach the reverse of A measured as AND 88.6% fibonatsi, that is 5200 to 5230 then we have a wave C which can reach from 4913 to 4765 and maybe even lower.
The price is currently following a bearish trajectory, targeting a level of 4997. It is essential for the price to close a 4-hour candle below this level to continue the downtrend towards 4953. Stabilizing the price below 5054 will reinforce the bearish trend, potentially leading to price levels of 5021 and then 4997. Therefore, the expected range of movement...
Been swing bearish on SPX for a while. With previous analysis I thought the stop hunt risk was to 5200 and then the bear trade would come. If this is right, we have a lot more downside to come. Potentially even taking out all of the 2023 rally. But one thing at a time. Next big support level would be 4725. Currently positioning with shorts and OTM puts with...
Esteemed analysts and traders, I hope this correspondence finds you in good health and high spirits, prepared to tackle the upcoming week with renewed energy. I extend my best wishes for your continued success in all your business endeavors. It is worth noting that success in trading is largely dependent on the consistent definition and adherence to one's own...
Colleagues, in the coming trading week I expect the uptrend to continue after the formation of corrective wave “2”, which I expect in the area of 50% Fibonacci level 5025. After that I expect the beginning of the formation of wave “3”, with the aim to reach 100% of the Fibonacci extension level 5209. Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter...
ANALYSIS ON FED STANCE Powell has consistently indicated that interest rate decisions would hinge on economic data, a stance reaffirmed by the unchanged rates in the latest policy announcement. Despite the Fed's clarification that rate cuts are unlikely until there is more certainty that inflation is consistently heading towards the 2% target, some still question...
While we await earnings from Nvidia (on 22 May) that will be influential on future market direction, we move into the tail-end of US quarterly earnings, but also past a dovish Fed meeting, a strong US ECI report and weaker-than-expected US nonfarm payrolls and 2 hefty bouts of MoF/BoJ intervention. Yet, despite these landmines, a gentle calm descends over...
A correction is coming soon. Maybe started this week. How low will it go? Nobody knows. So many Bearish Posts. Permabears predicting cataclysm. The End is Near! Doomsayers who repeatedly forecast massive crashes will eventually be right, once every 15-20 years. Almost always these guys are just plain wrong. Markets exist to print money. Money prints when...
Everywhere I look I'm seeing talk of a "new bull market" But I don't think this is a new bull market I think we are getting a visit from a distant relative: Ole' Cousin Bear Market Rally Why do I think this? Well, typical of "family", the members within share common attributes In the next post we will talk about what some of those common attributes are in detail
Please, check our technical outlook for SPX500USD. Time Frame: 2h Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is approaching a significant support area 5110.2. The underlined horizontal cluster clearly indicates a highly probable bullish movement with target 5146.0 level. P.S The term oversold refers to a...
SPx New Forecast The price reversed and stabilized at the bullish zone because already at the pivot line which is 5120, so stability at this area means will continue the bullish trend to get 5177 and then will move between 5177 and 5120 till breaking should stable under the pivot zone which is between 5120 and 5103 to be downtrend till 5080 Pivot Line:...
The chart posted is my view of the wave structure it is forming . We had two legs of equal in the sp 500 up into 5123 from 4954 .I would be rather bearish BUT cycles are in a time frame coming up and I think I would see a rather complex structure in formation . We have had a.7.3 % Correction >So I have now taken a 40 % net long I did want to add at 5061/5058 ...
Using history and other TA I clearly show that we are about to have another leg up on the stock market with the SPX reaching around 5500.