DAX-STRENGTH LEADERDax: Weekly clean 1-2 RTM , Our Bullish confirmation pattern, expecting extended Run
Previous daily high broken and expecting volume at US open
Note:Bullish
DE30 trade ideas
Heading into 61.8% Fibonacci resistance?DE40 is rising towards the pivot and could potentially reverse to the 1st support.
Pivot: 18,773.31
1st Support: 18,539.97
1st Resistance: 18,929.08
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The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
GER40 Confirmed a Double Top Pattern or Something SimilarGER40 Confirmed a Double Top Pattern or Something Similar
The price broke out from the neckline of the pattern by confirming
in this way a bigger bearish wave.
It is still too early and DXY can make a small correction before it moves down more.
However it looks really good also with the current data.
If GER40 will manage to develop below the neckline of the pattern it
will move down even more as shown in the chart.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
DAX Will Grow! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
DAX is trading in an
Uptrend and the index
Made a bullish rebound
From the horizontal
Support of 18,550
So we are bullish biased
And we will be expecting
A further move up
Buy!
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Check out other forecasts below too!
DAX 40 run out of gas?Today on Memorial Day, the US market will remain closed today. The ECB has focused on cutting interest rates trying to get ahead of its peers in the US and UK. European stocks have started slightly higher from Friday's close. Sentiment continued part of the day up 0.28% at around 18,745 points. Data from the Ifo institute on current conditions were slightly below expectations, with a score of 88.3 compared to the consensus of 89.8 and lower than the previous 88.9, so it is possible to see the currency turning bearish against the dollar. As for expectations, they have not been met either, although they were slightly more optimistic, closing at 90.4 compared to 89.7 in the previous publication. As we have said, this will also affect the Euro. And finally, the publication of the German business climate, has also been clearly bad, showing the same data as the previous publication of 89.3 against the expected 90.4. This indicates a possible pessimistic sentiment regarding the market situation.
If we focus on the chart, the DAX (Ticker AT: GER40) has been retracing its price touching highs in the middle of the month. A possible bullish pullback above the previous bullish breakout zone is currently being structured. The moment the 18,913.82 points (current high price) is surpassed, we will be looking at another possible "All-Time-High" (ATH) milestone. Currently the RSI indicator is not telling us much with a slightly overbought 61.09%, and the bell shape being dual. At the moment, there is a lot of pressure on two possible strong price zones: 16,721 points and 18,532 points. It is creating a possible third bell with low volume at the moment, in the area of 18,729 points. In order to continue at the highs, 405.75 points (2.19%) must be surpassed. It will be more likely to see a correction after testing the highs than a continuation of the success.
Ion Jauregui - AT analyst
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Potential bullish rise off 23.6% Fibonacci support?DE40 is falling towards the pivot which acts as a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 18,534.90
1st Support: 18,319.76
1st Resistance: 18,892.20
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
LONG IDEAMarket has shifted favoring longs. Targets and annotations made in the chart. 18581.4 possible targets.
Key levels and annotations made on the chart.
Once the stop level of 18443.9 is breached, the idea is invalidated and no trades for the day
As usual, manage risk and conserve capital.
Risk engaged minimized to half following a loss on the previous idea.
GER40 the trend is still Bullish**Monthly Chart**
Last month candle dropped lower after creating a record high around 18568.8 level. This drop was due to a large selloff around the record high. However, this month the price continued higher and created a new record high just shy of 19000 level which indicates continues of the bullish long-term directional bias.
**Weekly Chart**
Last two weeks candles closed as dojis which shows a loss of momentum around the high. It will require a large liquidity to push the price higher. Therefore, any retracement or correction will encourage buyers to continue the move.
**Daily Chart**
There are two scenarios on the daily chart, GER40 price might continue higher without retracements and bush higher before changing the trend or the price will have a deeper retracement and then bush higher and grap the liquidity that formed above the new record high. Either way, I am only interested in buying the retracement. The direction is still bullish and there is no indication yet to move lower.
SHORT IDEAMy bias is still favoring the short side,
Targets and annotations made in the chart. 18300 possible short targets.
Key levels and annotations made on the chart.
Once the stop level of 18549.9 is breached, the idea is invalidated.
As usual, manage risk and conserve capital.
DAX continues to hold back bears.GER40 - 24h expiry
Price action continues to trade around the all-time highs.
Intraday dips continue to attract buyers and there is no clear indication that this sequence for trading is coming to an end.
A Doji style candle has been posted from the base.
Preferred trade is to buy on dips.
Our outlook is bullish.
We look to Buy at 18655 (stop at 18555)
Our profit targets will be 18905 and 18955
Resistance: 18762 / 18806 / 18928
Support: 18680 / 18586 / 18500
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The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
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SHORT IDEA
Anticipating a continuation lower during this session and continuation during the New York Sessions. Longs seem unfavorable
Annotations and anticipated key levels made in the chart for partials and potential targets.
Once the stop level of 18670 level is breached, the idea is invalidated and will be on the sidelines for a new opportunity.
As usual, manage risk appropriately and conserve capital
GER30 Monday setupThis is the expected move on Monday...we are expecting price to come to our POI and look for our entry
2024-05-23 - a daily price action after hour update - daxGood Evening and I hope you are well.
overall market comment
If bears can get follow through selling tomorrow and trap bulls below the breakout levels, we could see acceleration of this selling. If bulls manage to BTFD and make money with it again, this madness continues for new highs I guess.
dax
comment: Another break of the neckline but bears need follow through. There are at least 3 measured move targets to around 18400-18450 so this will be the magnet for tomorrow. Invalid above 18760.
current market cycle: trading range
key levels: 18400 - 18800
bull case: Bulls closed right at yesterdays close 18750 but US session closed below the neckline. Bulls are in deep trouble tomorrow if they can’t pump this above 18700 early again. Below 18600, 18400 will come fast.
bear case: 18400. Invalid above 18760. No ifs buts whatnots here. Weekly close below 18400 and next week will be a bull slaughter.
short term: Still Bearish - 18400ish was not hit today but if we hit it tomorrow, you read it here first.
medium-long term: My long term outlook stays bearish and I expect at least a -20% correction in 2024. Medium term is 17100 while I think we can touch the big bull trend line starting 2022-10 around 16700 in 2024. —unchanged
trade of the day: 18800 was clear resistance and shorting with a reasonable 20-30 point stop was an amazing trade today. Second best was the retest of the open for another short at the 1h 20ema.
Weekly Technical AnalysisStart your week by identifying the key price levels and trends.
The SpreadEx Research team has analysed the most popular markets, including stocks, indices, commodities & forex.
*KEY
Trend direction is set by the slope of the VWAP
Trend phase is determined by the current price relative to the VWAP (20) level
Support & Resistance are set by the StdDev #2 Lower and Upper respectively.
Momentum is determined by the RSI level (70 as overbought and under 30 as oversold).
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Analysis
Germany 40 remains in a bullish trend and has been correcting through time rather than price, with the price increasing slightly to 18,775, still above the VWAP of 18,622. Support and resistance levels have adjusted to 18,325 and 18,920, respectively. The RSI has decreased slightly to 62, indicating a slight moderation in sentiment compared to the previous report.
UK 100 remains in a bullish trend but has transitioned into a corrective phase, with the price decreasing slightly to 8,320, now below the previous VWAP of 8,383. Support has adjusted to 8,271, while resistance has decreased to 8,495. The RSI has decreased significantly to 53, reflecting a reduction in bullish sentiment compared to the previous report.
Wall Street remains in a bullish trend but has moved into a corrective phase, with the price decreasing notably to 39,083, now below the previous VWAP of 39,473 - indicating a rising chance of a full bearish reversal. Support and resistance levels have adjusted to 38,689 and 40,256, respectively. The RSI has decreased significantly to 47, signalling a reduction in bullish momentum compared to the previous report.
Brent Crude remains in a bearish trend and continues in a corrective phase, with the price decreasing slightly to 82.99, now slightly above the previous VWAP of 82.72. Support has adjusted lower to 81.23, while resistance has decreased to 84.21. The RSI has decreased slightly to 46, indicating a slight moderation in bearish sentiment compared to the previous report.
Gold remains in a bullish trend but has shifted into a corrective phase, with the price decreasing to 2,343, now below the previous VWAP of 2,361. Support has adjusted higher to 2,289, while resistance has decreased to 2,434. The RSI has decreased significantly to 47, indicating a weakening of bullish sentiment compared to the previous report.
EUR/USD remains in a bullish trend and continues in an impulsive phase, with the price slightly decreasing to 1.0877, now above the previous VWAP of 1.0821. Support has adjusted higher to 1.0728, while resistance has increased to 1.0914. The RSI has decreased slightly to 63, indicating a slight moderation in bullish pressure compared to the previous report.
GBP/USD remains in a bullish trend and continues in an impulsive phase, with the price increasing to 1.2775, now above the previous VWAP of 1.2637. Support has adjusted higher to 1.2443, and resistance has increased to 1.2831. The RSI has increased significantly to 71, indicating a strengthening of bullish sentiment compared to the previous report.
USD/JPY has shifted in a neutral phase with the VWAP now more-or-less flat since the big reversal from over 160 and the price consolidating around the VWAP, though more recently increasing to 156.83, now above the previous VWAP of 155.82. Support has adjusted higher to 154.10, while resistance has increased to 157.54. The RSI has increased to 59, reflecting a strengthening of bullish sentiment compared to the previous report.
Possible LONG trade for GER40price overall looks so bullish , current structure shows a market structural shift on the 1hr TF
signal for potential bull run and a formation of inverse Head and Shoulders formation on the 1hr TF which align together with fib 61.8 level, lets watch and see how price react to the zone
GER30We just got a tap in the fvg, and we expecting sells to take out the previous low on the 1 hour timeframe.
Nice Correction On Dax; More Upside Ahead? Stocks remain in risk-on mode after Nvidia's beats earnings expecations, so it’s not surprising to see DAX also turning up. Index has stabilized at the first support area between 18,620 and 18,560 from where we can see the price attempting to break out of what can also be referred to as a bullish flag, therefore, the market will at some point resume higher into a 5th wave.
However, fourth-wave corrections can sometimes be tricky and complex, and it's not always easy to define the end of a wave four unless you wait a bit further for confirmation of a bullish reversal. In our example, if the DAX comes back to this week’s lows, the next significant, but also very strong, support can be found at the 38.2% Fibonacci level around 18,500.
In either case, we believe the DAX will remain in an uptrend, but don’t be alarmed by a potential top if we see deeper price action. The most important invalidation level for a trend change is at 18,237. The upward projection for wave 5 should be around 19,000.
DAX SELLS @ 18715Selling Dax, supply looks to be strong enough to take us to demand below before continuing higher. Half risk again due to supply in an index.
German DAX H&S pattern setupIntraday Update: The German DAX is getting very close to the 18550 neckline of the head and shoulder pattern. A break lower may coincide with SPX below 5280
DAX Another perfect sell opportunity emerges like the last one.DAX (FDAX1!) gave as an excellent sell opportunity last month (April 11, see chart below) that hit the 17700 Target and shortly after rebounded:
The index yet again flashes a sell signal as the price got rejected yesterday exactly at the top (Higher Highs trend-line) of the 1.5 year Channel Up. In symmetrical terms, this is similar to the Higher High rejection of May 19 2023, which pulled back to the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line).
The 1D MACD is also inside a similar Falling Wedge pattern and will confirm the sell signal once it makes a Bearish Cross. Our Target now is 18350.
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GER 30 ON BEAR PUTS Orders Placed, no pending, all executed in time before the market made an impulsive move to the down side.
Aim for a 50% retest zone, then call for buys on corrections, and sell again on impulsive move targeting PSTG 1 & 2
