Looking to go long on the third touch of the upwards sloping trend line. There is currently very strong bearish pressure, but for the RR I am seeing potentially from this trade it meets my criteria for a 1% risk. If price action doesn't look good due to the gap down on the Sunday night open my bias could change as price may well play down further. If this is the...
After a break of the top downwards sloping trend line part of the wdedge that's recently formed here. Re-test and then I'm long, tight stop here as there is crossing over the longer term weekly and monthly upwards sloping trend line also. Good RR of 1:5 here so worth the trade for me at a 2% risk.
If price tanks today before the weekend I'll either cancel the...
Bund is after contract changing on the down move with little corrections. 161,00 / 160,00 is minimum for me. I don't wonder when we see a low 158,50/00 and than up.
And look at the option on eurex. There you can read the way (when you understand it). Good luck for all.
The big fall is not yet. Cause the Draghis buy mor till next year. Than we can look in the first...
we have now a big run. If the indices goes more down that is what i think (cause DAX 11800/500) than we see next week 165,00 at BUND but not more for me.
So watch out till the market turn's into downtrend. At the next rollover at Sept.8th we see 161,00 or lower!
Look at your plan and good luck to all.
Bund is trading quite slow, choppy and overlapping since September of last year which gives us an idea that a bigger Elliott Wave triangle correction within wave 4 consolidation is in the making. If that is the case, then more slow price action may follow on Bund and ideally afterwards make a new recovery into black wave 5 as part of a higher degree Elliott...
Following from the from the last flow of vacation analysis, I couldn't end without throwing one on bonds, and specially on bunds that I've been following very closely since 2016. I've shorted the first leg, now searching to get my hands on the next one that should lead us with nice gains as this is sub-wave 3 that should be coming. Meaning more volatility to come...
Following from the from the last flow of vacation analysis, I couldn't end without throwing one on bonds, and specially on bunds that I've been following very closely since 2016. I've shorted the first leg, now searching to get my hands on the next one that should lead us with nice gains as this is sub-wave 3 that should be coming. Meaning more volatility to come...
Nothing new.
Just keep outright short positions, and your Fixed-Income portfolio hedged via Bund, Bobl and other bond futures short, or in some cases pro traders may consider paying IRS.
This way you won't be shocked when the real bond selloff armegeddon happens. Or you will be shocked only by how much money you made :-)
The rally from the 07 July low has reached the bearish ABCD measured move objective at 162.67. This is also the 200 day MA and strong resistance. The topping pattern and bearish price action suggest a reversal here and downtrend resumption. The rally from 07 July looks like a bear flag and a break down has a target of 157.20
tweezer tops and bearish engulfing, missed this first time round and the tweezers on point 2, am going with the market here for a sell to break this bottem
Heikin-Ashi shows some loss of short term bearish momentum at the spot Kumo. Some consolidation, or pull back towards Kijun Sen is possible.
Since Tenkan/Kijun is turning medium bearish, we have to look for sell signals in 163,30-163,70 zone.
The upmove after the correction has failed for me. Now look at the flag. Only if this break down is a sell, otherwise we must look for more uptrend. It's a bit tricky.
Good luck.
Potentially big moves on Bund and T Notes after FOMC
Here my take on Bund -
On short scale Gartley is completing right now , my target in extension on building potential BAT pattern
Short entry point at area of 165,5 , Target 150
Great RRR 7,5
If the downwards sloping trend line is respected I'll wait to see if a bullish or bearish bias is generated and enter accordingly.
At present when not at the charts I've got this short in from two key levels, however due to the UK general election risk is half and if price consolidates or moves slowly i'll take the order out accordingly.
