Macro Commentary Cash will continue to be forced into assets either through investing or during the transaction/exchange of commerce. The printing won't end Until there's real change in fiscal policy and the new normal may be at the same adjusted rate during the 2008 collapse. People who do not trade their fiat for assets or income generating sources will get...
The 2000 Top was still the "real" peak of the US stock market Built obviously on the expectation that the internet would change the world and teh global economy. This highlights how the market foresees the future and how market participants are forward looking. The #DownJones index is still 50% down form that peak on this chart you can multiple chart patterns...
FED is rapidly pulling cash out of the system leading up too the debt ceiling default date on the 5th of June This big pull should of happend way earlier You see the covid massive melt up and now we are pulling cash out I doubt we hit COVID lows Just want to post my model at mid price and see how much cash we pull out before We inventively print again
And Always Remember NOT TO : - LIVE for it - DIE for it - Turn yourself in to a SLAVE for it - Sell the most precious Asset owned, Your TIME - Fall in LOVE with it - Get BLINDED by it - Be GREEDY for it - Do others WRONG to own it - Betray OTHERS TRUST to own it - Put others DOWN if in abundance you own it - FORGET your LOVED ONES for it You and I BOTH Got...
Oh boy, many of them problems... Sometimes there are cycles, some cycles are shorter than others. In chart analysis, we are familiar when we analyze trends. Either short term or long term. The economy does not function only in trends. There are cycles. The most common / important of cycles is the yearly one. Unfortunately, cyclic patterns may prove tricky to...
Just a doodle on the M2 Does the Debt Machine keep spinning upward stay tuned You won't wanna miss What happens next
Back in the 80s, we thought that by 2020 we would have an automated oven and flying cars. All we got is a money printer, and we liked it. We played with it a lot. And this year for Christmas, who wouldn't like some more printer ammo? Since high inflation cannot ensure social stability, we have only one option. Lower inflation. That is the motto of the FED, the...
Many people think that Biden engaged in the QE that is leading to inflation. This is simply false.
This is a pretty bleak chart illustrating how printing more bad money is not the solution to a broken monetary system. The FRED:M2 can be seen gradually increasing at around a 30 or so degree slope until about 2011 onward where it becomes steeper... then at the beginning of the pandemic -- it turns parabolic. During the same period you can see the FRED:M2V ...
Updated to include marketcap weighted average, added GOLD, remove Russel 2000 Opinion unchanged, grab cash
Money supply expansion is like roaches. It goes everywhere you don't want, and nobody can control it. Plotted here is the money supply to futures ratio of soy, wheat, corn, and sugar. We have the potential to see a massive increase in food speculation, simply because it's not risky. When equities burst, the money goes anywhere it can. So we should expect a...
Since 1982 the FED has been on full throttle with the M2 money supply . Based on Debt based system anything though of being an Asset has been inflated to which I see a major turn in our Society in this year T he year of the last bubble . I look for a major CRASH into a panic into oct 2022 basis . I do not see anything that can stop what...
Just a quick chart to show all the new money thats being printed by central banks we can see how the stock market is being kept alive by all this extra wealth being pushed into it, keeping it bullish, the only downside is obvious, INFLATION, massive amounts of very dangerous and harmful inflation! Highlighted the 2008 housing market short and also the most...
Money printing in real terms is admittedly at the top of the historical range of this data set but its not beyond what we have seen. Maybe inflation is transitory? Maybe it's not. It is clear that a vast majority of the additional money printing causes asset inflation otherwise this chart would look a lot different. i.e. if gold didn't have a significant move up...
M2 is a classification of money supply. It includes M1 – which is comprised of cash outside of the private banking system plus current account deposits – while also including capital in savings accounts, money market accounts and retail mutual funds, and time deposits of under $100,000. Governments are not shying away from negative rates and printing money....
Long term investment is a sure way to mitigate inflation. Now I realized putting into equities is better than FD for 2 years and above.
Quick update: We can now see the M2 Money supply in Trading View. Just type 'FRED:' as the search term as the symbol. There was a TV notice about this, but I wanted to store it here too, because it's really helpful :) Here's the notice: www.tradingview.com Also see these other instruments that are available now too via FRED: tvblog-static.tradingview.com
In additional to Wells Fargo - more than one dozen additional Banks have reduced Lines of Credit (LOCs) - the prior contraction in Personal Credit occurred two weeks before the previous Retracement South. We anticipate the Net Effect will be Negative with an abrupt reduction in M2 into the end of August.