Biggest one day increase since pandemic broke out in the United States.
+51890 new cases reported on May 11 2020
Is this due to increased testing, or the "reopening" of the U.S. Economy?
Trend is your friend. Trend is still climbing...
Using Projection, Sine Line, Gann 192 day time cycle, my educated "guess" is this virus will peak around August 2020 with approximately 3.7 million U.S. cases and start to decline until bottoming out in Feburary 2021. Squeeze Momentum Indicator by Lazy Bear showing 2nd wave of infection.
... to spike in April!
Already media is openly speaking of that expectation. No surprises, will happen.
Data (MACD histogram) projections align.
Apparently, NY and FL are already spiking.
This is likely the Omicron wave, and it can get out of hand pretty quickly as we have seen in many other countries. Hope that enough preparations have been made!
Tradingview has some amazing data on COVID. This chart is of importance for long term investment purposes (see fat disclaimer below).
Importantly this is about total of all cases infections and deaths. Some may say that's meaningless. But there are important features on the chart.
Say what you see! I'll say what I see.
If the war on COVID was being won, one...
First off, this is not meant as any opinion towards Covid-19 (political, medical, or otherwise) nor meant in any way to dishonor any who have lost loved ones due to Covid-19, but rather I wanted to call out an interesting correlation that looks to be occurring.
Recently TradingView made the confirmed cases in the US available broken down per state or country....
Time for an update...
Singapore is not enjoying it, but it is in a surprise wave. IT should start to taper off, but the tail would be long...
Indonesia was as projected, and appears to be slowing slightly.
Malaysia is the surprise, as instead of tailing off, a new spike over the last three weeks emerged and the trajectory indicates higher levels over the next...
Was just speaking to a good buddy who saw an interview where someone said that in a few weeks, the Delta wave would be over.
I pulled out the chart, and by any measure, it does not appear so!
The only time this model failed was the Singapore KTV Club surge, which is an anomaly, and a gamechanger... much as an awakening call. Otherwise, it has been pretty darn...
Idea for COVID-19:
- Delta variant now 20% of US cases says CDC, up from 3% 4 weeks ago.
- Technicals suggest new wave to begin.
Forecast: 54 Million+ by EOY.
www.bloomberg.com
New variant selection timeframe matched as forecasted previously:
GLHF
- DPT
The exact bottoms looking week-over-week via 7-day momentum are perfectly spaced 107 bars apart. Continuing the cycle suggests a bottom on April 14th. Continuing it further and speculating what the possible trajectories may be, a good case of the end of the pandemic and a bad case of the continuation are shown.
Just to test a hypothesis... appears that recently, the US has lower COVID-19 cases.
However, the drop is slowing down, and appears to be rising back up again.
For now, it appears to be a small increase/spike incoming. Will review in a couple of weeks...
This chart analysis uses position equation terms from physics to show how covid total cases should be decelerating by the end of next week (December 4th) according to the linear trend of the acceleration chart which is approaching zero and should continue into the negative.
You don't need to be a scientist or epidemiologist to see what's going on here. The COVID pandemic is out of control.
These charts are limited because they show total infections - not rate of infections per day.
The exponential appearance of total infections is because of the summation of infections.
However, if a country is gaining some control over the...
COVID-19 Confirmed cases for the USA, Great Britain, Germany, and China...
Clearly the Western (world) major economies are having trouble handling the COVID-19 pandemic.
Germany appears to be the most parabolic, then Great Britain is similar although not as steep.
USA is not far off in the speed of spread.
Opposing to that, China has been doing well, and numbers...
Part 1: FULL INTRO
The goal remains the application of 'derivatives of displacement' to describe the spread of COVID-19. The points made will apply to any application over time (not just virus spread).
This charts focus is on COVID19's "snap". Snap is the 4th derivative of displacement:
Rate of spread (how many each day)
Velocity of spread: Change in Rate over...
Cleaner Chart:
The recent increase in acceleration (known as "jerk") of US COVID cases is "re-bending the curve". In this context the verbal descriptions of change, and its derivatives ,becomes both interesting and important Charts showing ongoing change in confirmed US COVID19 cases are themselves constantly changing. Understanding these 'charts of change'...
It is striking to me how much the new case counts of COVID in the US look like an Elliot wave. Alternate sentiments of panic and denial seem to create a similar fractal as greed and fear in trading. I hope a solution is found soon.
