On the week we learnt that the UK and Japan are in a technical recession, although this meant little to markets and perhaps the bigger issue in Japan was the steady stream of pushback from key Japanese officials on recent JPY strength. US retail sales fell 0.80% in Jan, a sinister turn when both US CPI and PPI were far hotter than expected, putting us on notice...
S&P500 is on healthy bullish technicals both on the 4H (RSI = 63.806, MACD = 7.990, ADX = 31.789) as well as the 1D (RSI = 64.592) timeframes as it keeps rising inside a six week Channel Up. According to the last HH wave we are expecting a top on the 1.236 Fibonacci extension. If that's coupled with the 4H RSI hitting the top of its Rectangle, we will short the...
Following the release of worse-than-expected inflation data in the United States, the volatility jumped by an astounding 26%, and major stock market indices turned lower. Then, yesterday, the situation quickly cooled down, and indices erased much of the post-release losses. In the process, the SPX returned above the critical level of $5,000, and the VIX dropped...
Whether trading equity, equity indices or even FX, Nvidia’s Q424 earnings (due after-market on 21 Feb) should be firmly on the risk radar. Markets could come alive with movement and traders may need to dynamically react. How the Nvidia share price reacts immediately after its earnings results and CEO Jensen Huang’s guidance could have far-reaching implications -...
The major U.S. stock market indices are trading in the negative territory ahead of the release of inflation data and the Consumer Price Index (CPI). A hotter-than-expected print is likely to produce a pop in volatility and convince central bankers in Washington to keep monetary conditions tight during the upcoming meeting in March. Consequently, we pay close...
Please, check our technical outlook for US500. Time Frame: 6h Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is testing a major horizontal structure 5026.1. Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 4952.0 level soon. P.S Please, note that an...
On this analysis we look into the S&P500 index (SPX) from a very long-term angle, the 1W time-frame going back more than 13 years, since November 2010. That was when the first Megaphone pattern emerged since the 2009 market bottom of the U.S. Housing (sub-prime) crisis that after testing the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) it found Support and transitioned into a...
HELLO TRADERS Hope everyone is doing great 🛑 A look at NASDAQ ahead of the day 📌 NASDAQ 4H TF * Looking at US100 from the 4H we see a break above BSL * FULL BODY closure above possibly signaling continuation. * If we see momentum back into the range i would be looking for shorts. * But for now NASDAQ is signalling some strong BULLISH momentum. *...
ES/SP500/US100 Hello Traders, Welcome back to another market breakdown. Today, I've got an exciting video for you as I dive into the current state of the S&P 500 and explore various strategies based on different market scenarios. Whether you're an experienced investor or just getting started, this video will help you better understand how to navigate the dynamic...
Take a look at our analysis for US500. Time Frame: 1D Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is approaching a significant support area 4939.4. The underlined horizontal cluster clearly indicates a highly probable bullish movement with target 5100.0 level. P.S The term oversold refers to a condition...
Long time no ideas, I think we're going to have a strong move down. The main thing is that there should be no over-sweep of the high and then a move down. If there will be an overshift, I will still try to look for a short entry again as it is possible to catch a good risk-reward trade.
When we looked at the Volatility Index (VIX) on our November 07 2023 analysis (see chart below) we compared it with the S&P500 index (SPX) : The S&P500 has reached the top of its Channel Up, while the VIX bottomed and is consolidating on a price action that is very similar to the July 27 2023 Low, which was the former Higher High of the S&P500 Channel...
Hello traders! This is my idea related to the US500 M15. The sellers' sentiment is still strong, and I expect a new ATH until the price of 5000 after that, I will look for a shot trade entry. It represents a good opportunity to look for a long trade entry. Traders, if you liked my idea or if you have a different vision related to this trade, write in the...
The S&P500 index (SPX) has reached the top of the long-term Channel Up pattern that started on the October 13 2022 market bottom. This development is a strong sell signal on its own but it gets even stronger as the 1D RSI has been within a Channel Down since December 19, while the price was rising within a Channel Up, which is a technical Bearish Divergence. The...
We move past an important week for markets, one where a one-two punch from Jay Powell’s FOMC presser and a very strong nonfarm payrolls report have essentially closed the door on a March rate cut. With US economic exceptionalism coming back into the narrative, we see this play out in the bond market with the US 2-year Treasury pushing back to the top of the range...
S&P500 is only a few points away from hitting the HL trendline of the long term Channel Up (started on the October 13 2022 Low). That would be the second time to test the patterns absolute Top. The 1D technical outlook is on standard bullish levels (RSI = 67.767, MACD = 49.570, ADX = 38.770) but the 1D RSI in particular has formed the very same pattern it did...
Unsurprisingly, yesterday’s FOMC meeting resulted in no change to the monetary policy. Then, during the press conference, Jerome Powell discussed the resilient economy, strong labor market, and persistent challenges to taming inflation. At some point during his speech, the stock market erased its losses and entered a green territory. However, this optimism lasted...
Entered Shorts at 385XX Levels Yesterday. Aim TP1 at the middle moving average line.