Much to the chagrin of would-be homebuyers, property prices just keep rising. It seems nothing - not even the highest mortgage rates in nearly 23 years — can stop the continued climb of home prices. Prices increased once again in July, according to the latest S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller home price index , with 19 out of 20 markets measured showing...
G-Morning! Shorter term yields haven't moved much as of late. Demand has slowed down & this coincides with the expectation that the #fed will be cutting rates soon. The 2Yr #yield recently caught up with the strength of the shorter term #InterestRates & looks to be settling in the area just like the others. On the other end the 10 Yr #yield has been...
Going 2b away today meeting with partners. This post might just be the only one today TVC:DXY This is a pretty strong trend. TVC:TNX That last move was stronger than previous, look at the RSI. 10Yr #yield. TVC:VIX This move was also with more strength than previous moves. Conclusion: Our call to end BULL run was spot on. Should've went BEAR, it's...
It's important to keep and eye on the 10 & 2Yr yields. The inverted #yield curve has huge prediction probability. BUT The strongest aspect of this is when it normalizes. We're not far from that as the10yr has been pumping and the shorter time frames have been pretty stagnant. Now, there's 2 ways this happens. Soft landing, economy slowly recovers OR Lower...
The 10Yr - TVC:TNX and the 2Yr #yield have held pretty steady the last few days. Won't be shocked if it doesn't do much until the DJ:DJI & TVC:NDQ , "coincidentally", break out of the patterns we've spoken about. TVC:DXY losing a lil bit of steam. Is it topping again? The only odd man out is the $VIX. It's closer to the lower end of range. IMO this is...
Going to bring this up AGAIN. Short term #yields have been stagnant for some time now. Most are trading within a VERY TIGHT RANGE. 3Month - 1Year yield has been relatively flat. The 2Yr had nice bump but is struggling to go over 5%. HOWEVER, we pointed this out some time ago, the 10YR has BEEN PUMPING! TVC:TNX
Not sure what NYSE:BRK.A NYSE:BRK.B is thinking, Warren Buffet. Is he expecting a huge demand for NEW HOMES? There was increase in demand after large drop. Maybe thinking that the Fed reduces #interestrates after things begin to crack, more? TVC:TNX has been pumping (10 Yr), no signs of weakness. They've all had huge runs NYSE:DHI NYSE:NVR NYSE:LEN.B...
NASDAQ FUTURES rejected July open price... Should have a fake-out under 15,000 before final pop to 15,200. Heavy resistance at 15,200, then final drop into 14,000 range.
Edited the graph from Apollo a bit. Red arrow is when most treasury #yields were hitting new highs. Blue arrow is current time. Chart is 2Yr #Bonds. TVC:TNX was putting in a lower low at the Red arrow BUT it is higher then before at the moment, Blue arrow. Graph shows how #bankruptcy filings began increasing late last year, slowed during #interestrates...
the chart posted is that of the 10 Yr yield I now have a good sell in place DO NOT BE SHORT TLT OR STOCKS
$TNX is approaching historical resistance... expecting trend resumiption once local top is in...
#Bond #yield has been moving well lately, but today. SO FAR, they're rolling over, and some hurting more than others. We've mentioned that steam has been running out for some time. Look @ the RSI negative divergence on almost all of the #yields 6M weakening. 1Yr RSI CRATERING. 2YR hurting & RSI DECIMATED It is at major support. TVC:TNX is the lone wolf. Must...
Long ago we mentioned that #FederalReserve had decision to make. They either chose the Economy or the Markets. They CANNOT do both. It's obvious, plus they keep repeating, with rate hikes where their mindset is. Media states that Wall St thinks that #interestrate will be cut. BUT Looking @ short term rates, they look primed to go...
The consensus is LOWER #interestrates (I mean, they have been around 3.2ish) Every time the 10Yr #yield was in this same situation it FOLDED. Easier to see on daily. However, something looks lil different this time around. Can't make it out on the daily. Let's see the weekly chart. Hmmm... Not yet, but gaining momentum... If the 10 Yr yield starts pumping this...
#Yield is moving well today. 1Yr is bouncing back better than 2 and 10Yr. $TNX is not bouncing as much but has not sold off as much as the others. The 10Yr is trading between 3.80 - 4.08. Did we see the top in short term #yields a few days ago? 10Yr on the other hand did not break the most recent high. Interesting to say the least. The last picture shows the...
🚨🚨🚨 Going to make a stink about #yield again. Short term #interestrates have been creeping higher. Let's👀@ #bond Yields. 6M = holding steady, trading slightly higher. BUT, 1Yr = BROKE RECENT HIGHS. It's at resistance but shows momentum. 2Yr = Closing in on TSX:SVB closure high. This is where #banks began to break down. 10Yr TVC:TNX @ current downtrend is...
Yellow arrows show the #bank crisis. Short term #yields are higher or at the same level. They are showing signs of wanting to push higher again. The 2Yr is lower & looks as if it's curling a bit higher. The TVC:TNX or 10Yr is consistently lower & looks to be weakening. Wall St may finally be listening to #Fed & more hikes coming.
Short term #yield is still weakening The 3M & 6M peaked not long ago & been going lower. The 1Yr & 2Yr are holding area when the #banks began to fail. The 10Yr peaked Oct 2022, last year. TVC:TNX has been lower & looks 2b headed lower at the moment. We'll see what the #FederalReserve does but Wall St thinks #fed is done with rates or @ CLOSE to the end of hikes