We can expect to buy a retracement and ride it to at least one of the two targets above. Positive carry quickly adds up while you hold the position open, be it in profit or a drawdown, as you wait to hit your target. I'd like to go long here, but need a retracement entry. Patience is a virtue they say...
This is what I'm seeing in this pair, on an Elliott Wave basis. I'd like to monitor the progress to confirm my suspicions, hence this publication. I'll nevertheless try to go long in the coming days, depending on price action. Cheers, Ivan.
The Reserve Bank of New Zealand is expected to hold rates. With the Kiwi being resilient of late, Graem Wheeler is likely going to jawbone about it being overvalued, which should give it at least some short-term drag, especially against the USD. In terms of monetary policy, the press conference might reveal whether or not a rate cut is still on the table, and if...
Rising wedge. Key resistance level. Bearish RBNZ. Misleading albeit hawkish Fed. Good risk reward. Worth a short. Trade at your own discretion. There are 100 opportunities a day in the markets so pick wisely.
Recently each time there has been a flag pattern it was followed by an impulse move to the upside. another flag pattern just formed so we could advance to the upside which is also in confluence with some nice resistance turned support structure level. Scenario 2 is If price breaks this important support level then the next level i will be looking at to get long is...
Friends, As you may recall, a recent predictive analysis/forecasting was released for this same $NZDJPY pair, pertaining to a higher timeframe (4-hour - See link below). Fundamental analysis remains intact here regarding the $NZD. PREDICTIVE/FORECASTING MODEL: Looking at the internal activity of the aforementioned 4-Hour chart, I applied the...
Based on the fundamental facts that the RBNZ need a cheaper Kiwi to improve their economy. That and concern over the dairy trade will bring the Kiwi lower. In regards to the technicals, according to the ABCD Fibonacci extension there is further downside to be seen. This geometrical pattern was structured using the weekly pivot high as A (0.8840), weekly pivot low...
RBNZ Interest Rate Decision - there has been speculation that the bank will cut rate today. In anticipation of this most of the NZD pairs have shown NZD to be weak as other have gained. However, looking at all NZD pairs it seems that the gains have been of the corrective nature. Therefore, if the rates are maintained there could be spike in the prevailing...
Traders, There is little question that the fundamentals have pulled the carpet from underneath this export-dependent economy, and that a slumping Asian theater demand will do nothing supportive for this currency. However, on a technical basis, there is a possibility of a Bullish Shark reversal at the 0.81335 level. This pattern is often flanked with its...
Taking Points – Technical Strategy: Long@.8380 – Trendline Broken On Daily Chart – Price traded in corrective channel for wave c of b. – Candlestick Pattern: Morning Star The trade on Nzd-Usd is still valid, as it’s hold .8300 level. This is just correction on wave b, price traded in corrective channel and expected bounce from current level. 8300 is...
We are very right side of the market, pair broken down the bearish channel. In idea case, stop loss can be moved up bit, but we are not changing our initial plan and stick to 8300 stop loss level, and same for target.
Intraday Analysis Overview Taking Points - Technical Strategy: Long@.8380 - Trendline Broken On Daily Chart - Candlestick Pattern: Morning StarTrend is down, but chart showing possible pullback, and this is considerable counter-trend. On elliottwave, we are able to count five waves down on NZDUSD and considerable we will be in wave 2 / wave B. Price brokendown...
This pair is about to complete it's first leg of correction, and can be sell for target 1.099 to 1.0760 area
Traders, On March 28th, I defined three distinct targets, all of which have been hit. The most recent target remained pending on last analysis (see it here: ), when TG-3 = 0.88099 was overing a few pips above and fundamentals were waivering (milk prices were pointing down while RBNZ was talking about increasing its rate). At this point, TG-3 has been hit...
Friends, On a pure fundamental basis, a rate-based directional bias should favor a decline in the NZDCAD pair. First, $NZD was recently affected by a decline in its dairy futures pricing, bringing the currency to a double-top formation near the 0.87525 level, and capping any new advance on the back on these futures price concerns. Also, RBNZ stated: "We saw...
Friends, Last Wednesday, June 04th, I released two bearish targets, namely: 1 - TG-1 = 1.08986 - 04 JUN 14 and 2 - TG-2 = 1.08521. (Source: ) Both of these bearish targets got hit with great precision as of this hour (see M14 timeframe for a closer look of the price action relative to these two bearish targets here: ). A third target, standing at the...
Friends, TRADE PROFILE: Only three days ago, I took the opportunity of a long entry based on a daily chart which confirmed support near the 87.350 level. A layered analysis comprising my prop predictive analysis and forecasting favored a bull directional bias with a series of bullish targets of moderate-probability quality. Despite being a technical analyst, I...