CPI was much lower than expected, which fueled a strong bull run for all markets except the USDX. BTC bounced from the short-term support and gathered the strength to challenge the resistance above. According to the strength of the triangle, the resistance today diverts to $24860.73-$24597.35. This resistance has become weak and easily broken. Short-term...
Check out my most recent publishing(s) referring to this particular exchange rate in the "Related Ideas" section below if your interested in the USDCNY. I took a closer look at my in-depth analysis over the weekend and felt as though it needed some adjustments (additions*) + further complication.. but its for the better.. hear me out. Ive been spending the...
Silver is about to reach a macro fibonacci golden pocket, this could be a good time to buy silver (preferably physical silver). Make sure to do your own research, this is no investment advice. Forecasts and forward-looking statements always involve risks and uncertainties. Some things you might want to look at: Gold/Silver Ratio Silver/SPX Ratio Silver...
AT&T (NYSE:T) shares recently fell by approximately 10% after the firm released its second-quarter earnings. Despite better-than-expected earnings per share and revenue, excitement was muted by cash flow issues. Following the current drop, AT&T's stock yields around 7.3 percent. Furthermore, AT&T is dirt cheap again, trading at approximately 7.4 times forward EPS...
In the most recent two-quarters, DUOL has sold off ahead of earnings and then rebounded sharply after reporting earnings beats. Coming into this quarter price action is reversed. DUOL has experienced a strong rally from a quarter ago, clocking in over a 50% gain from the lows of their Q1 2022 earnings in May. This bullish short-term momentum might just be stomped...
The Return of the Golden Bull Technical Analysis - Gold has been in a 2 year consolidation, after a 7 year uptrend of over 90% from 2018 to 2020. - Price Action is contracting on a monthly basis, within a bullish pennant. - After an intermediate bear trend of 3 months, Gold is at a massive horizontal support, coming from the 2011 High. - Gold is also right...
Not the most earth shattering observation but good to remember. As profits fall, the stock markets follows. A recent Band of America report shows record low profit expectations by global fund managers - lower than anytime in the last 25 years.
Ethereum’s rise from the ashes over the past two weeks has demonstrated why you should not underestimate bear market rallies. Prior to its explosive surge, covering over 50% in a week, the second largest crypto asset was tracking bitcoin’s moves closely. Now it appears to be the one leading the rest of the market and showcases the market’s shift to a more risk-on...
AUD/NZD Fundamental, Technical, and Signal ( NZD fundamentals and events, click link ) *AUD events will be the drivers during trade. AUD Previous Important Economic Events: - Consumer Confidence and Confidence Change ( Both actuals below forecast and previous supporting consumers low enthusiasm to spend in the future. ) - Business Confidence ( Below...
DXY Daily cautiously bullish. Recommended ratio: 75% DXY, 25% Cash. *Demand for USD continues as global recessionary fears amplify and tighter monetary policy pushes investors to short term Treasuries (Yield Curve inversion). The Euro is maintaining parity with the USD for the third consecutive day as Italy's Prime Minister Mario Draghi submitted an offer to...
Dxy got rejected from 4h resistance as Spx forming cup and handle formation. As bitcoin follows it's fellow Spx what is about to come? Macro economics promising nothing but charts looks pretty. May be a short term bounce followed by bottom accumulation is waiting for us.
INVERTED GRAPH> This isn't a shocker. It's well documented. But what is happening right now is interesting. When the stock market does better, unemployment falls. When the stock market does worse, unemployment grows. Right now, stocks have dropped but unemployment hasn't fallen. Guess what happens next? Peak unemployment will be near the end of the...
Ray Dalio, legendary investor and founder of the world’s largest hedge fund Bridgewater Associates, coined the term “cash is trash”. However, arguably over the past 8 months cash has weathered the economic storm the best, with the dollar being the strongest among the major currencies. This week we saw examples of multiple fiat currencies taking severe hits...
The Swiss Franc has seen some crazy moves since April. In the last quarter, we saw the CHF weaken on the onset of the Russian invasion. Then the SNB raised rates by whooping 50 bps for the first time in years. This led the Swiss government bond yields to spike with USDCHF weakened in days. Since then, speculators have pulled back rate hike bets in the face of...
Showing the causation between new orders data and job opening data. When new orders fall, new jobs fall. RN, new orders have fallen. New jobs haven't fallen yet.
Chart showing that Personal Income doesn't lead consumer sentiment Green is income. Red is sentiment.
Macroeconomic backdrop:: With sentiment in markets rising slightly from peak fear, due to recession fear provoked significant pull backs in commodity prices. Providing a likely reprieve in expected rising inflation concerns. This might in turn, influence central bank interest rate decision makers, too slow the rate in which they hike rates. Although we can only...
The last time this pair dropped below parity, investors chose the CHF over the Euro. However, the SNB was worried about the deflationary aspects of such a move and acted to reverse the move. This time, the fundamentals are more or less the same or different depending on how you interpret it. The Euro zone investors are worried about the block tipping into a...